sharpside
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Traders/Rank #7,037

hailimian

0xd98…9381
1y+PoliticsSportOtherCryptoCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$567vol $34.2k
PnL 30d+$1.50gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$1.75win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate24.1%adj 26.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$756cash n/a
Positions6 / 212open / all-time
Max drawdown−47.9%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 1mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$573below peak −$391Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

38/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale39
Adjusted win rateraw 24.1% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable78
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity52

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 6

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in August?No20099.8¢100¢$200+$0.40−$0.03
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in August?No19099.7¢100¢$190+$0.57−$0.04
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No17093.3¢97.9¢$166+$7.82+$7.50
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in August?No10099.7¢100¢$100+$0.30−$0.02
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No10096¢100¢$100+$4.00+$2.50
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?No2064¢0¢$0−$13$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Ethereum dip to $1,100 in August?99.7¢190$18924%38
SELL NoWill Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?80.9¢200$16224%38
BUY NoWill Ethereum dip to $1,200 in August?99.8¢200$20024%38
BUY NoWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in August?99.7¢100$10024%38
BUY NoWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?96.4¢170$16424%38
BUY NoWill China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?98.8¢100$9924%38
BUY NoWill Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?99.3¢200$19924%38
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?99.4¢300$29824%38
SELL YesWill The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?43¢50$2224%38
SELL NoWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?89.8¢100$9024%38
SELL NoWill July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?4¢44$1.7724%38
SELL NoWill no listed leader be out before 2027?55.5¢100$5524%38
SELL YesWill Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?71¢100$7124%38
SELL YesOutstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?38¢50$1924%38
SELL NoWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?83.2¢50$4224%38
SELL NoUS Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?78¢50$3924%38
SELL NoWill Rob Reiner – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?71.2¢50$3624%38
SELL NoWill Paper Rex Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?54¢20$1124%38
SELL YesSituational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?6¢50$3.0024%38
SELL NoWill Jean Smart – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series?5¢50$2.5024%38