| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 20.0k | 56.2¢ | 88.5¢ | $17.7k | +$6,450 | +$5,243 | |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | No | 13.5k | 57.2¢ | 95.4¢ | $12.8k | +$5,143 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | No | 3,000 | 0¢ | 78.8¢ | $2,363 | +$2,363 | $0 | |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 2,810 | 42.5¢ | 82.5¢ | $2,318 | +$1,124 | +$45 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 2,500 | 60¢ | 84.9¢ | $2,121 | +$621 | $0 | |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | No | 1,000 | 50¢ | 94.2¢ | $942 | +$442 | $0 | |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 1,500 | 4.4¢ | 54.5¢ | $818 | +$751 | +$301 | |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 1,750 | 52.9¢ | 43¢ | $752 | −$174 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 2,898 | 17.3¢ | 22.5¢ | $652 | +$152 | +$365 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 7,188 | 2.3¢ | 7.4¢ | $528 | +$360 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 3,407 | 12¢ | 15.5¢ | $528 | +$119 | $0 | |
| Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 3,466 | 2.9¢ | 15¢ | $520 | +$418 | $0 | |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 3,500 | 8.7¢ | 14¢ | $490 | +$184 | $0 | |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | No | 490 | 78.5¢ | 90.8¢ | $445 | +$60 | −$74 | |
| Will Rob Howard win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election? | No | 615 | 32¢ | 43.7¢ | $268 | +$71 | $0 | |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? | No | 500 | 9¢ | 45.5¢ | $227 | +$182 | $0 | |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | No | 3,729 | 3.6¢ | 6¢ | $224 | +$89 | +$37 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 4,898 | 4.1¢ | 4.4¢ | $213 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 1,250 | 8.9¢ | 16.5¢ | $206 | +$96 | +$1,501 | |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 5,000 | 3¢ | 4.1¢ | $203 | +$53 | +$150 | |
| Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 1,000 | 19¢ | 19.4¢ | $194 | +$3.50 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,933 | 4.5¢ | 5.5¢ | $161 | +$29 | $0 | |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | Yes | 1,041 | 7.5¢ | 15¢ | $156 | +$78 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,301 | 4.4¢ | 4.6¢ | $150 | +$4.50 | $0 | |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,997 | 2.1¢ | 7.5¢ | $150 | +$109 | +$68 | |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 15.3k | 0.5¢ | 0.9¢ | $130 | +$49 | −$147 | |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 5,500 | 10.9¢ | 2.4¢ | $129 | −$473 | +$19 | |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 1,031 | 12.2¢ | 10¢ | $103 | −$23 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | OpenAI | 2,566 | 4.5¢ | 4¢ | $101 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 8,750 | 4.8¢ | 1.2¢ | $101 | −$319 | $0 | |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 5,650 | 6.5¢ | 1.8¢ | $99 | −$271 | +$60 | |
| Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,053 | 3.3¢ | 9¢ | $95 | +$60 | $0 | |
| Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 848 | 3.3¢ | 10.8¢ | $92 | +$64 | +$35 | |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | Yes | 1,783 | 6.7¢ | 5¢ | $89 | −$31 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | No | 1,894 | 2¢ | 4.5¢ | $84 | +$45 | +$248 | |
| Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,652 | 3.1¢ | 5.1¢ | $83 | +$32 | +$7.77 | |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 11.9k | 0.7¢ | 0.7¢ | $77 | −$9.00 | +$681 | |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 1,630 | 31.2¢ | 4.5¢ | $73 | −$436 | +$108 | |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 2,000 | 2¢ | 3.6¢ | $72 | +$32 | $0 | |
| Will Abstract launch a token by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 3,000 | 3.2¢ | 2.4¢ | $72 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Will Abstract launch a token by September 30, 2027? | Yes | 3,000 | 3.2¢ | 2.4¢ | $70 | −$27 | $0 | |
| Will Vilgefortz die during "The Witcher: Season 5"? | No | 500 | 7¢ | 14¢ | $70 | +$35 | $0 | |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? | Yes | 2,750 | 3¢ | 2.5¢ | $67 | −$15 | $0 | |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 1,250 | 1.5¢ | 5.3¢ | $66 | +$47 | +$581 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | Yes | 250 | 5¢ | 26¢ | $65 | +$53 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 1,878 | 5.4¢ | 3.4¢ | $64 | −$37 | +$214 | |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 102 | 9¢ | 57¢ | $58 | +$49 | $0 | |
| Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? | Yes | 1,468 | 3¢ | 3.8¢ | $56 | +$11 | $0 | |
| SBF released from custody in 2026? | Yes | 3,526 | 2.1¢ | 1.6¢ | $55 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Will Mazher Alam win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election? | Yes | 719 | 2.3¢ | 7.4¢ | $53 | +$36 | $0 | |
| Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by October 31? | Yes | 898 | 2.3¢ | 5.9¢ | $53 | +$32 | $0 | |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes | 828 | 3.3¢ | 6.2¢ | $51 | +$24 | +$300 | |
| Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | Yes | 373 | 4.7¢ | 13.5¢ | $50 | +$33 | $0 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | Yes | 212 | 31¢ | 23.5¢ | $50 | −$16 | $0 | |
| US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31? | Yes | 556 | 3.8¢ | 8.9¢ | $49 | +$29 | $0 | |
| Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? | Yes | 190 | 5¢ | 26¢ | $49 | +$40 | $0 | |
| Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31? | Yes | 728 | 4.4¢ | 6.5¢ | $47 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | No | 250 | 13¢ | 18.5¢ | $46 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-06 House seat? | Yes | 1,750 | 2¢ | 2.6¢ | $46 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 3,000 | 3.2¢ | 1.5¢ | $45 | −$52 | $0 | |
| Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31? | Yes | 250 | 3¢ | 18¢ | $45 | +$37 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | Yes | 573 | 2.9¢ | 7.8¢ | $44 | +$28 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 1,115 | 2.3¢ | 4¢ | $44 | +$19 | $0 | |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? | Yes | 1,183 | 5.3¢ | 3.7¢ | $44 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? | Yes | 213 | 2¢ | 20.5¢ | $44 | +$40 | $0 | |
| No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31? | Yes | 1,563 | 1.8¢ | 2.8¢ | $43 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? | Yes | 322 | 9.8¢ | 13¢ | $42 | +$10 | +$201 | |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,250 | 3¢ | 3.3¢ | $41 | +$3.75 | $0 | |
| Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election? | No | 1,500 | 2¢ | 2.7¢ | $40 | +$9.75 | $0 | |
| Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | No | 165 | 13¢ | 24¢ | $40 | +$18 | +$19 | |
| Will Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"? | No | 250 | 7¢ | 15¢ | $38 | +$20 | +$37 | |
| Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? | No | 39 | 50¢ | 95.1¢ | $37 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 659 | 4.8¢ | 5.5¢ | $36 | +$4.88 | $0 | |
| Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | No | 500 | 3¢ | 7¢ | $35 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? | Yes | 366 | 1.6¢ | 9.6¢ | $35 | +$29 | +$55 | |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | No | 801 | 3.7¢ | 4.3¢ | $34 | +$4.93 | +$1.24 | |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1,208 | 43¢ | 2.8¢ | $34 | −$485 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? | Yes | 250 | 4¢ | 13.4¢ | $34 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | Yes | 506 | 3¢ | 6.4¢ | $32 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026? | Yes | 540 | 3.2¢ | 5.9¢ | $32 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 401 | 4.8¢ | 8¢ | $32 | +$13 | +$2.50 | |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | Yes | 2,562 | 0.5¢ | 1.3¢ | $32 | +$19 | +$91 | |
| Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 305 | 4¢ | 10.5¢ | $32 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | Yes | 686 | 3¢ | 4.7¢ | $32 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026? | Yes | 1,074 | 4.6¢ | 2.9¢ | $32 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31? | Yes | 120 | 8¢ | 26¢ | $31 | +$22 | $0 | |
| Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 364 | 3.8¢ | 8.5¢ | $31 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 92 | 21¢ | 32¢ | $29 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | Yes | 1,725 | 1.4¢ | 1.7¢ | $29 | +$4.58 | $0 | |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Yes | 451 | 1.2¢ | 6.5¢ | $29 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? | Yes | 500 | 2¢ | 5.7¢ | $28 | +$18 | +$16 | |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Yes | 355 | 11.9¢ | 8¢ | $28 | −$14 | +$64 | |
| Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 500 | 1.9¢ | 5.5¢ | $28 | +$18 | +$21 | |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | Yes | 500 | 2¢ | 5.5¢ | $28 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will Abstract launch a token by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 2,128 | 2.9¢ | 1.3¢ | $27 | −$36 | $0 | |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 3,529 | 3.7¢ | 0.8¢ | $26 | −$103 | +$85 | |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31? | Yes | 250 | 3¢ | 10.3¢ | $26 | +$18 | $0 | |
| US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? | Yes | 250 | 6¢ | 10¢ | $25 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CT-03 House seat? | No | 711 | 3¢ | 3.5¢ | $25 | +$3.56 | $0 | |
| Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? | Yes | 1,040 | 4¢ | 2.4¢ | $24 | −$17 | $0 | |
