sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

Bobic

0xe1e…9629
WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$5,192vol $445k
PnL 30d+$490gains $2,257 · losses $37
PnL 7d+$142win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate60.3%adj 59.8% · 30d 88.2%
Open value$20.6kcash n/a
Positions68 / 508open / all-time
Max drawdown−13.7%of equity peak
Account age3.3ylast trade 5h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$7,127below peak −$192Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

69/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale53
Adjusted win rateraw 60.3% · shrunk toward 50%49
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable90
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity86

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 68

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?No7,72993.8¢96.7¢$7,470+$221+$2.49
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?No6,63083.5¢95.4¢$6,321+$784+$77
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No1,12693.5¢97.2¢$1,094+$42+$7.86
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?No80596.7¢98.3¢$791+$12$0
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?No60790.9¢97.7¢$593+$42$0
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?No58897.7¢97.9¢$576+$1.29$0
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?No53094.4¢97.7¢$517+$17+$46
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?No51992.8¢94¢$488+$6.31$0
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?Yes1,73225.6¢25.7¢$445+$2.38$0
Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?No35392.3¢88.5¢$312−$13$0
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No25090¢98.9¢$247+$22+$22
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No24183¢87.5¢$211+$11$0
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?No21590¢91.8¢$197+$3.87$0
Will Aston Villa be runner-up in the 2026-27 Premier League?No18092.9¢97.4¢$176+$7.99+$4.90
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?No19783¢86.7¢$170+$7.26$0
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Jun 30?Yes29136¢47.5¢$138+$34$0
Manchester City punishment announced by October 23?No10078¢99.5¢$99+$21$0
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?Yes2,4610.4¢3.5¢$85+$75$0
Manchester City punishment announced by December 18?No10056¢83¢$83+$27$0
Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27?Yes27015.4¢30.5¢$82+$41$0
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?No10891.2¢71.3¢$77−$22−$0.65
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by June 30, 2027?Yes9528¢76¢$72+$46$0
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?No7091¢99.4¢$70+$5.84$0
Will Rayan Cherki (Man City) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Premier League season?No8074.6¢84¢$67+$7.50$0
Will Anthony Gordon (Barcelona) record the most assists in the 2026-27 La Liga season?No6073.8¢91¢$55+$10$0
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?No5082¢93.5¢$47+$5.75$0
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?No6059¢65.5¢$39+$3.90$0
Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond?Yes6241.7¢3.4¢$21+$11$0
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No2194¢96.5¢$21+$0.53$0
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026?Yes2049¢69¢$14+$4.00$0
Tom Francis announced as next James Bond?Yes3313¢3.4¢$11+$1.20+$8.30
Jonathan Bailey announced as next James Bond?No894.2¢99.9¢$8.48+$0.48$0
Will Bruno Fernandes (Man Utd) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Premier League season?Yes2020¢30.5¢$6.10+$2.10$0
Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?Yes3,6830.1¢0.1¢$3.68−$1.22$0
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Yes5018¢7¢$3.50−$5.50−$151
Will Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid) record the most assists in the 2026-27 La Liga season?Yes300.2¢4¢$1.18+$1.12+$0.76
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?Yes1110.5¢0.8¢$0.83+$0.33$0
Tom Blyth announced as next James Bond?Yes8000.5¢0.1¢$0.40−$3.60$0
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?No3,0773¢0¢$0−$92−$43
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,2330.8¢0¢$0−$17−$0.51
Will Andrej Kramarić be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,6670.3¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.15
Will William Clouston win the Clacton by-election?Yes1,5340.2¢0¢$0−$2.68−$0.11
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?No1,1703¢0¢$0−$35+$0.82
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?No1,1111.1¢0¢$0−$12−$0.44
Nelson Hysa vs. Thomas NarmoThomas Narmo9001¢0¢$0−$9.00−$0.45
Will United Russia (ER) win 45-50% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?Yes60910.7¢0¢$0−$65−$2.31
Will United Russia (ER) win 60% or more of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?Yes5219.6¢0¢$0−$50−$1.81
Will Ronaldo post about Messi by October 7?No41163¢0¢$0−$259−$1.61
Will United Russia (ER) win 50-55% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?Yes17343.2¢0¢$0−$75−$1.66
Will Emiliano Martinez join Bayern Munich?Yes1700.8¢0¢$0−$1.30−$0.05
Will Harry Kane score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No14844¢0¢$0−$65−$1.09
Will Dusan Vlahovic stay at Juventus?Yes1007.5¢0¢$0−$7.45−$0.34
Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain?Yes1000.1¢0¢$0−$0.10−$0.01
Will Mohamed Salah play in La Liga next?Yes910.4¢0¢$0−$0.39−$0.02
Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?No875.7¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.14
Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Hilal?Yes860.1¢0¢$0−$0.09$0
Will Nigel Farage win less than 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes691.8¢0¢$0−$1.22−$0.05
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Conor McGregor5134¢0¢$0−$18−$20
Will Jack Grealish join Everton?No4670.6¢0¢$0−$32+$20
Will the fight be won by submission?Yes426.6¢0¢$0−$2.79+$20
Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Nassr?Yes400.1¢0¢$0−$0.04$0
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Yes4050.2¢0¢$0−$20−$0.50
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceColombia3853¢0¢$0−$20−$0.28
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 England?Yes3520¢0¢$0−$7.00−$0.17
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceNorway3116¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.21
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes3033¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.27
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes305.9¢0¢$0−$1.77−$0.07
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No987¢0¢$0−$8.00−$0.04

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesNo one announced as next James Bond?25.7¢85$2260%69
SELL YesNo one announced as next James Bond?26.4¢20$5.2360%69
BUY NoPrince Andrew sentenced to prison?97.7¢44$4360%69
BUY NoWill Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?97¢155$15060%69
SELL NoWill Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?99¢250$24860%69
BUY NoWill Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?97¢33$3260%69
BUY YesHenry Cavill announced as next James Bond?0.5¢57$0.3060%69
BUY NoJack Barton announced as next James Bond?94.9¢158$15060%69
SELL NoAaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?99.8¢170$16960%69
SELL NoJack Lowden announced as next James Bond?62.7¢20$1260%69
BUY NoWill Aston Villa be runner-up in the 2026-27 Premier League?96.5¢30$2960%69
SELL NoManchester City punishment announced by December 4?76¢40$3060%69
BUY YesWill Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?26.5¢12$3.1860%69
BUY NoWill Ronaldo post about Messi by October 7?7.2¢136$9.7960%69
BUY NoManchester City punishment announced by December 18?56¢100$5660%69
BUY NoWill Ronaldo post about Messi by October 7?93¢30$2860%69
SELL NoJack Lowden announced as next James Bond?64.5¢150$9760%69
BUY NoWill Ronaldo post about Messi by October 7?92¢15$1460%69
BUY NoWill Ronaldo post about Messi by October 7?93¢150$14060%69
SELL NoWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?97.6¢150$14660%69