sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

Xyzeric

0xe5f…9c9c
PoliticsSportCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$595vol $222k
PnL 30d+$419gains $1,183 · losses $902
PnL 7d+$70win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate40.9%adj 42.0% · 30d 41.7%
Open value$5,046cash n/a
Positions93 / 245open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 5h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$290below peak −$1,175Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

30/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 40.9% · shrunk toward 50%5
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable80
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 93

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?No36893.2¢94.4¢$347+$4.20$0
Will Dante Moore be the first overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft?No32192.2¢95.4¢$306+$10$0
Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?No30186.3¢98.5¢$296+$37$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No53847¢51.6¢$277+$24$0
Will Nik Bonitto win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?No24493.1¢98.6¢$240+$13$0
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?No73933.9¢27.5¢$203−$47$0
Will New York Rangers be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?No19892.5¢96.1¢$190+$7.15$0
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?No20389.8¢89.9¢$183+$0.17+$18
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes46130¢28.5¢$131−$6.89−$25
Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?Yes18064.9¢68.4¢$123+$6.25$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 40%-45%?No12984¢85¢$109+$1.22$0
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?No3568.5¢30¢$107+$76+$28
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes8698¢12.1¢$105+$36−$5.67
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes63419.6¢16.5¢$105−$19−$6.65
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?No46733.1¢22.1¢$103−$51−$29
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 40%-45%?No13772¢75¢$103+$4.11$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-07 House election by 70%-75%?No13569¢75.5¢$102+$8.78$0
Will Arvell Reese win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes36030¢28.1¢$101−$7.02$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 15%-20%?No13272¢75.5¢$100+$4.63$0
Will Luke Combs have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?No10775.2¢88.5¢$95+$14$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-08 House election by 25%-30%?No13767.5¢65.5¢$90−$2.72$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes3,5549.5¢2.5¢$87−$251$0
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2026-27 Ted Lindsay Award?No9486.4¢91.6¢$86+$4.91$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-05 House election by 45%-50%?No9974¢86.5¢$86+$12$0
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes37219¢22.5¢$84+$13$0
Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Yes18247.3¢45.2¢$82−$3.88$0
Will Cale Makar win the 2026-27 Ted Lindsay Award?No8289.8¢96.4¢$79+$5.35$0
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes36323.3¢20.5¢$74−$10+$11
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes77416.1¢9.5¢$73−$51$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-05 House election by 70%-75%?No9275¢77.5¢$71+$2.30$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 10%-15%?No9174.3¢76.5¢$70+$2.00$0
Will the Philadelphia 76ers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?Yes27819¢22.9¢$64+$11$0
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?Yes17736¢35¢$62−$1.71−$5.38
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-01 House election by 65%-70%?No8269.5¢65.1¢$54−$3.61$0
Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes32814.1¢15.5¢$51+$4.72+$2.12
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?Yes1,0358.3¢4.5¢$47−$39−$80
Will Connor McDavid win the 2026-27 Ted Lindsay Award?Yes1817¢24.3¢$44+$31$0
Will Josh Hokit be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes14228.1¢30.6¢$43+$3.48$0
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No42113.3¢10¢$42−$14$0
Will Post Malone have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?No4590.4¢86¢$39−$1.97+$1.65
Will Sonny Styles win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes27611¢13¢$36+$5.37$0
Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No46110¢7.7¢$35−$11$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?Yes20812.7¢17¢$35+$9.03$0
Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?Yes5626.6¢5.9¢$33−$3.74−$3.86
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes2949¢8.6¢$25−$1.00−$21
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-04 House election by 25%-30%?Yes12221.3¢20.5¢$25−$1.02$0
Will the Republican Party win the CA-22 House seat?Yes2748¢7¢$19−$2.74$0
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden before 2027?Yes5083¢3.7¢$19+$3.58$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-01 House election by 35%-40%?Yes5727¢26.5¢$15−$0.29−$0.31
Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes4024.3¢3.7¢$15−$2.44$0
Will the Republican Party win the SD-AL House seat?No3236¢4.5¢$15−$4.84$0
Will there be between 120m and 125m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?Yes9217.5¢15.5¢$14−$1.82−$2.07
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Yes14319.2¢9.5¢$14−$14−$2.15
Will Borussia Dortmund be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Yes1766¢7.5¢$13+$2.63−$0.13
Counter-Strike: Sissi State Punks vs Team LEISURE (BO3) - DACH CS Masters Regular SeasonTeam LEISURE2548.2¢50.5¢$12+$0.57$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 10%-15%?Yes1369.7¢9¢$12−$1.02$0
Will Fernando Mendoza win the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes2867.8¢3.7¢$10−$12−$5.45
Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?Yes3610.8¢20.5¢$7.43+$3.51+$20
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes5711.3¢1.3¢$7.42$0$0
Will the Republican Party win the OH-13 House seat?Yes5173.6¢1.4¢$6.98−$12$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 25%-30%?Yes457.8¢11.7¢$5.24+$1.73$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election by 0%-5%?Yes3611.1¢12.9¢$4.64+$0.66$0
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes1289¢2.7¢$3.46−$8.07−$0.31
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 25%-30%?Yes426.8¢6.9¢$2.91+$0.04$0
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes4391.3¢0.5¢$2.41−$3.24−$1.43
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 15%-20%?Yes456.8¢3.6¢$1.62−$1.44$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No180.7¢93.5¢$1.07+$0.15+$0.68
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes328¢31.5¢$0.82+$0.09+$2.44
Will Morgan Wallen be the top artist in the US for 2026?Yes840.5¢0.1¢$0.08−$0.32−$0.53
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsNo2,02378¢0¢$0−$1,578−$17
Fabián Ruiz: 1+ assistsYes1,2567.8¢0¢$0−$98−$4.52
Will “The Traitors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?No1,0409.4¢0¢$0−$98−$20
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?Yes1,00624.3¢0¢$0−$244+$2.04
Will The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?No57716.5¢0¢$0−$95−$25
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?No49313¢0¢$0−$64−$1.67
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3890.5¢0¢$0−$1.95−$0.08
Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?Yes37321.2¢0¢$0−$79−$2.49
ITF Huamantla: Fernanda Regalado Macias vs Claudia Sofia Martinez SolisFernanda Regalado Macias36811.9¢0¢$0−$44−$1.94
ITF Hechingen: Nastasja Schunk vs Xinxin YaoXinxin Yao22024¢0¢$0−$53−$2.00
ITF Pergamino: Isabella Barrera Aguirre vs Carolina AlvesIsabella Barrera Aguirre2079.7¢0¢$0−$20−$0.91
ITF Astana: Nina Sozaonova vs Victoria MilovanovaNina Sozaonova16214¢0¢$0−$23−$0.97
Will Ed Markey win the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary by 15–20%?Yes13811¢0¢$0−$15−$0.54
ITF Astana: Zangar Nurlanuly vs Yerassyl YerdildaYerassyl Yerdilda11214¢0¢$0−$16−$0.67
Will Lai Noelle advance to the Semifinals or Finals of AGT Season 21 during the Quarterfinals?No5843.4¢0¢$0−$25−$0.71
ITF Sao Paulo: Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago vs Benjamin TorrealbaJoao Vitor Scramin Do Lago5314.9¢0¢$0−$7.93−$0.34
ITF Rogaska Slatina: Ilinca Sagmar vs Eszter MeriIlinca Sagmar5314.4¢0¢$0−$7.61−$0.33
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 PlayoffsNoir Verse5216.4¢0¢$0−$8.60−$0.36
Mike Gesicki: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5Over5277¢0¢$0−$40$0
ITF Koszalin: Tom Zeuch vs Yassine SmiejYassine Smiej520¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Hundred Fingers advance to the Semifinals or Finals of AGT Season 21 during the Quarterfinals?No5066.1¢0¢$0−$33−$56
Will Merritt Wever – “The Gilded Age” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series?Yes388.5¢0¢$0−$3.22−$2.81
Julián Álvarez: 2+ shotsYes2044¢0¢$0−$8.81−$0.25
Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut SunToronto Tempo1543.3¢0¢$0−$6.59−$0.19

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the Philadelphia 76ers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?19¢278$5341%30
BUY YesWill Connor McDavid win the 2026-27 Ted Lindsay Award?7¢181$1341%30
BUY NoWill Cale Makar win the 2026-27 Ted Lindsay Award?89.8¢82$7441%30
BUY YesWill Arvell Reese win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?30¢360$10841%30
SELL YesWill there be between 120m and 125m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?16.5¢40$6.6041%30
SELL NoWill John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?60.8¢262$15941%30
BUY NoWill New York Rangers be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?92.5¢198$18341%30
SELL YesWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?0.8¢1$0.0141%30
SELL YesWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?0.7¢402$2.8141%30
SELL NoWill Lil Baby have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?92.5¢42$3941%30
BUY YesWill Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?64.9¢180$11741%30
SELL YesWill Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?37¢419$15541%30
BUY YesWill Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?34.7¢249$8641%30
SELL YesWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-01 House election by 35%-40%?26¢12$3.1241%30
BUY YesWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?12.7¢208$2641%30
BUY YesWill Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?36¢188$6841%30
BUY YesWill Josh Hokit be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?28.1¢142$4041%30
SELL NoWill Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?26¢40$1041%30
SELL YesWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?47.9¢632$30341%30
SELL NoWill Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?26.3¢125$3341%30