sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #1,767

allenzzz

0xe74…f771@allenzzz_poly
SharpWhalePnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$66.1kvol $5.15M
PnL 30d+$20.3kgains $13.3k · losses $420
PnL 7d+$3,293win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate77.9%adj 75.4% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$548kcash n/a
Positions50 / 263open / all-time
Max drawdown−6.7%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 16h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$86.1kbelow peak −$525Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

82/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale69
Adjusted win rateraw 77.9% · shrunk toward 50%89
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity93

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Noclosed+$12.5kWill China invade Taiwan in 2025? · Noclosed+$9,553Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? · Noclosed+$8,845Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% in 2025? · Noclosed+$8,505Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Noopen+$6,079

Worst markets

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Noclosed−$9,341Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025? · Noclosed−$5,136TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? · Noclosed−$924Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025? · Noclosed−$824Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yesopen−$811

Open positions · 50

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No196k95.4¢97.7¢$191k+$4,490+$1,589
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No105k94.6¢98.9¢$104k+$4,565+$505
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No69.8k93.8¢97.4¢$68.0k+$2,454−$68
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?No42.6k94.6¢98¢$41.7k+$1,430$0
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No36.2k89.2¢96.6¢$34.9k+$2,667$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No20.1k91.6¢95.5¢$19.1k+$771$0
Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No15.7k98.4¢99.2¢$15.6k+$117$0
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No13.3k94.7¢99.8¢$13.3k+$676$0
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?No12.3k91.7¢97.4¢$12.0k+$706−$44
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No10.4k98.4¢99.4¢$10.3k+$96$0
Trump on $250 bill this year?No10.4k96.4¢97.7¢$10.2k+$134$0
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?No4,83894¢98.5¢$4,763+$215+$19
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No3,57890.9¢99.5¢$3,560+$307$0
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No3,18594.6¢95.5¢$3,042+$30$0
Will Alberta join the US? No2,28995¢98.9¢$2,262+$88$0
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?No2,25996.2¢95.7¢$2,161−$12$0
Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?No1,50481.6¢96.3¢$1,447+$221$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No1,00087¢96.8¢$968+$98$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No1,00094¢94.5¢$945+$5.00$0
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No95592.5¢96.6¢$922+$39$0
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?No62496.1¢97.3¢$607+$7.40$0
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?No59991.1¢95.8¢$574+$28$0
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams before 2027?No57993.3¢96.8¢$560+$20$0
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?No52294¢96.8¢$506+$15$0
Will the International Space Station win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No50097¢96.9¢$485−$0.50$0
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?No61878.7¢75¢$463−$23$0
Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027?No49689.8¢93¢$461+$16$0
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes18.7k6.6¢2.3¢$420−$811$0
Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny before 2027?No41494.4¢99¢$409+$19$0
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes39990.8¢98.4¢$393+$30+$102
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No40289.8¢95.5¢$384+$23$0
Will Trump pardon Young Thug before 2027?No38193.7¢95.9¢$365+$8.17$0
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?No32884.7¢86¢$282+$4.14$0
Will the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein not be revealed in 2026?Yes33287.6¢73.5¢$244−$47$0
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No25383¢84¢$213+$2.53$0
NATO article 5 before 2027?No17094.7¢94.5¢$161−$0.49+$12
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No16189.5¢98.6¢$159+$15$0
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No15589.7¢97.5¢$152+$12$0
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes3,32311¢4¢$133−$232$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?No14093.2¢82.7¢$116−$15$0
Will Mark Carney win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No11198.9¢98.8¢$109−$0.16$0
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?No9894¢92.4¢$91−$1.62+$0.50
Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes2,0009¢3.9¢$77−$103$0
Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes2,8652¢2.2¢$63+$5.86$0
Will the International Peace Research Association win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes5,0730.1¢0.7¢$33+$28$0
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes4945.5¢4.5¢$22−$4.98$0
Will the International Association of Judges win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1,1710.2¢0.9¢$9.95+$8.09$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No1050¢80.2¢$8.02+$3.02$0
Will ICRC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes5001.8¢1.3¢$6.25−$2.75$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1050¢19.9¢$1.99−$3.02$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill ICRC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?1.8¢500$9.0078%82Sharp
BUY YesWill Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?9¢2,000$18078%82Sharp
BUY YesWill the International Association of Judges win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0.2¢1,171$1.8678%82Sharp
BUY YesWill the International Peace Research Association win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0.1¢5,073$5.0778%82Sharp
BUY NoWill the International Space Station win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?97¢500$48578%82Sharp
BUY NoWill Mark Carney win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?98.9¢111$11078%82Sharp
BUY NoWill Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?99¢918$90978%82Sharp
BUY NoWill Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?98.4¢1$0.8478%82Sharp
BUY YesWill the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?6.8¢13.1k$90078%82Sharp
BUY YesWill the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?6¢5,519$33178%82Sharp
BUY NoWill Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?98.4¢953$93878%82Sharp
BUY NoWill Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?98.3¢6,812$6,69778%82Sharp
BUY NoFed emergency rate cut before 2027?97.6¢242$23778%82Sharp
BUY NoWill Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?83¢113$9378%82Sharp
BUY NoWill Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?83¢125$10478%82Sharp
BUY NoWill Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?83¢15$1378%82Sharp
BUY NoTrump on $250 bill this year?97.5¢100$9878%82Sharp
BUY NoTrump on $250 bill this year?97.5¢100$9878%82Sharp
BUY NoTrump on $250 bill this year?97.5¢6,000$5,85078%82Sharp
BUY NoWill Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?99¢76$7678%82Sharp