sharpside
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Traders/Rank #8,738

v2boring

0x0ff…414c
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$56vol $16.5k
PnL 30d+$33gains $33 · losses $0.52
PnL 7d+$6.92win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate91.1%adj 78.5% · 30d 96.4%
Open value$2,029cash n/a
Positions35 / 80open / all-time
Max drawdown−0.5%of equity peak
Account age2molast trade 2h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$73below peak $0Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

59/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale25
Adjusted win rateraw 91.1% · shrunk toward 50%96
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable63
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Noclosed+$5.59Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Noclosed+$3.74Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yesclosed+$3.43Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Noclosed+$2.54Anthropic lab leak by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$2.26

Worst markets

Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Noopen−$1.61Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yesclosed−$1.42Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Noopen−$1.40Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Noopen−$0.91Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Noclosed−$0.52

Open positions · 35

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No14495.8¢97.2¢$140+$2.01$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No14496¢96.2¢$138+$0.23+$0.83
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No14297¢97.2¢$138+$0.28$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes14396¢96.4¢$138+$0.50+$0.66
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No14197.8¢97.8¢$137$0$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No14097.9¢97.3¢$136−$0.91$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No14594.7¢93.8¢$136−$1.40$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No10699.3¢99.5¢$105+$0.16+$0.37
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No10096.2¢97.6¢$97+$1.39+$0.43
Anthropic lab leak by December 31, 2026?No9996.6¢98.6¢$97+$1.93+$0.33
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No9897.6¢97.5¢$95−$0.10+$0.64
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?No7095.7¢96.6¢$68+$0.60+$0.40
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No6997.5¢98.5¢$68+$0.67+$0.35
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No7094¢94.5¢$66+$0.35$0
Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13?No5996.1¢96¢$57−$0.09$0
Plague pandemic in 2026?No5796.2¢97.8¢$56+$0.91+$1.21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No5697.8¢99.2¢$56+$0.76+$1.10
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No4995.8¢96.1¢$47+$0.15+$0.24
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?No4898.4¢99¢$47+$0.26+$0.44
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?No4594¢90.1¢$41−$1.75+$0.13
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No3496.5¢96.7¢$33+$0.07$0
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No2496.4¢97.2¢$23+$0.18+$1.48
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?No2096.1¢94.7¢$19−$0.29$0
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No1997.7¢97.8¢$19+$0.02$0
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?No1694¢92.5¢$15−$0.24$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No1296.2¢94.3¢$11−$0.23+$1.09
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseNo998.8¢99.1¢$9.20+$0.02+$0.35
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No896.4¢95.5¢$7.78−$0.08+$1.01
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No796.3¢97.9¢$6.57+$0.10+$1.31
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No696.9¢97¢$6.14$0$0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No695.8¢97.3¢$5.58+$0.08+$0.98
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No394.8¢96.4¢$3.19+$0.05+$0.62
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No398.6¢98.7¢$2.74$0$0
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?No395.6¢98.4¢$2.64+$0.07+$1.40
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?No296.6¢97.1¢$1.65+$0.01+$0.76

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?97¢130$12791%59
BUY NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?98.9¢136$13591%59
BUY NoClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?94.4¢2$1.6591%59
BUY NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?94.3¢134$12691%59
BUY NoWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?97.5¢43$4291%59
BUY NoWill there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?94.8¢125$11891%59
BUY YesUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?97.6¢141$13791%59
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?97.4¢141$13791%59
BUY NoWill there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?96.5¢2$1.6591%59
BUY NoWill there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?95.1¢19$1991%59
SELL NoWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?97.2¢2$1.6491%59
SELL NoWill Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?97.7¢19$1991%59
SELL NoWill the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?98.3¢2$1.5891%59
SELL NoXi Jinping out before 2027?97.2¢2$1.6791%59
SELL NoWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?97.7¢2$1.9691%59
SELL No2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House99¢3$2.7591%59
SELL NoWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?97¢7$7.0291%59
SELL NoKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?98.9¢14$1491%59
SELL NoWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?96.1¢15$1491%59
SELL NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?98.9¢34$3391%59