sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,917

qingkuang124

0x38d…8ce0
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Sport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$3,109vol $87.8k
PnL 30d−$168gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$169win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate95.7%adj 74.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,524cash n/a
Positions42 / 65open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 13h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$2,916below peak −$3,811Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

26/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 95.7% · shrunk toward 50%86
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable60
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Noclosed+$706Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan? · Noclosed+$610Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$593Will England win on 2026-07-15? · Noclosed+$592Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yesclosed+$474

Worst markets

Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan? · Noopen−$2,054Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yesopen−$1,492Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yesopen−$1,022Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan? · Noopen−$1,015Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesopen−$301

Open positions · 42

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,61162.1¢61.4¢$989−$11$0
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?No1,92426¢17.5¢$337−$163$0
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes4,0002.5¢2.5¢$100$0$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No10093.9¢97.8¢$98+$3.90$0
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,0912.2¢0¢$0−$200−$5.87
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan?No6,11832.7¢0¢$0−$2,000−$54
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?Yes4,5451.1¢0¢$0−$50−$2.47
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?Yes4,1672.5¢0¢$0−$105−$5.12
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes2,43560.7¢0¢$0−$1,478−$14
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,85216.2¢0¢$0−$300−$1.01
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes1,75457¢0¢$0−$1,000−$22
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?Yes1,6403.4¢0¢$0−$55−$2.66
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan?No1,57763.4¢0¢$0−$1,000−$15
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?Yes1,4290.7¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.30
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?Yes1,4297¢0¢$0−$100−$4.65
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?Yes1,26411.9¢0¢$0−$150−$3.66
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?Yes1,2204.1¢0¢$0−$50−$2.40
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?Yes7147¢0¢$0−$50−$2.33
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Yes68516.8¢0¢$0−$115−$2.65
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2T yuan?No64712¢0¢$0−$78−$2.73
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?Yes63626.7¢0¢$0−$170−$3.70
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?Yes5413.7¢0¢$0−$20−$0.58
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?Yes45511¢0¢$0−$50−$1.33
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?Yes4449¢0¢$0−$40−$1.82
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?No42647¢0¢$0−$200−$3.18
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?Yes40825¢0¢$0−$102−$2.29
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?Yes39010.5¢0¢$0−$41−$1.83
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?Yes38526¢0¢$0−$100−$2.22
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?Yes3758¢0¢$0−$30−$0.83
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes34529¢0¢$0−$100−$2.13
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?Yes32015.6¢0¢$0−$50−$1.27
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?Yes29217.5¢0¢$0−$51−$19
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?Yes2005¢0¢$0−$10−$0.28
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?Yes17928¢0¢$0−$50−$1.08
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?No17956¢0¢$0−$100−$1.32
Exact Score: France 0 - 3 England?Yes1722.9¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.24
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?Yes16162¢0¢$0−$100−$1.14
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?Yes1437¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.28
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group StageTeam Resilience1437¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.47
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes13077¢0¢$0−$100−$0.69
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 England?Yes1254¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.24
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?No10032¢0¢$0−$32−$0.65

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?62.1¢1,611$1,00096%26
BUY YesWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?2.5¢4,000$10096%26
BUY NoTrump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?26¢1,924$50096%26
BUY Team ResilienceDota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group Stage7¢143$1096%26
BUY NoWill CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan?63.4¢1,577$1,00096%26
BUY NoWill CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?76.1¢2,630$2,00096%26
BUY NoWill CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2T yuan?12¢647$7896%26
BUY NoWill CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan?32.7¢6,118$2,00096%26
SELL NoWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?99.8¢1,732$1,72796%26
BUY YesExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?4¢125$5.0096%26
BUY YesExact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?3¢167$5.0096%26
BUY YesExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?3.3¢1,515$5096%26
BUY YesExact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?2.5¢4,000$10096%26
BUY NoWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?57.8¢1,732$1,00096%26
BUY YesExact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?4.1¢1,220$5096%26
BUY YesExact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?1.1¢4,545$5096%26
BUY YesExact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?7¢1,429$10096%26
BUY EnglandFrance vs. England: Team to Win97.7¢1,740$1,70096%26
SELL YesExact Score: France 1 - 3 England?14.2¢336$4896%26
BUY YesExact Score: France 1 - 3 England?5.9¢336$2096%26