sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #670

whig

0x40c…d21d@whiggeries
SharpWhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$303kvol $8.84M
PnL 30d+$26.6kgains $29.7k · losses $22.2k
PnL 7d+$13.3kwin rate 7d 63.0%
Win rate60.0%adj 59.6% · 30d 61.1%
Open value$229kcash n/a
Positions79 / 956open / all-time
Max drawdown−3.3%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 2h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$336kbelow peak $0Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

77/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale78
Adjusted win rateraw 60.0% · shrunk toward 50%49
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable99
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity97

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 79

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?No30.1k67.6¢85.5¢$25.7k+$5,390$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No25.0k86.3¢96.8¢$24.2k+$2,608$0
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?No20.0k93.2¢94.5¢$18.9k+$250$0
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?No18.1k63.8¢85.5¢$15.5k+$3,920$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No14.0k52.1¢81¢$11.3k+$4,042−$1.81
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No8,74587.2¢97.5¢$8,527+$899$0
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes611k0.6¢1.4¢$8,247+$4,571$0
Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?Yes8,48893.8¢95.5¢$8,106+$146$0
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes8,00080.2¢79.5¢$6,360−$58+$1,355
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No7,00085.7¢89.5¢$6,265+$265$0
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No8,00068.2¢75.5¢$6,040+$580$0
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No6,30473¢91.5¢$5,768+$1,167−$187
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No7,24473.9¢74.2¢$5,372+$16$0
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No6,00064¢87.5¢$5,250+$1,410$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo5,56583.7¢91.5¢$5,092+$432$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes8,00045¢62.5¢$5,000+$1,400$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes5,00781.6¢87.3¢$4,371+$288$0
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No4,02585.6¢96.7¢$3,892+$447+$698
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No3,00988¢95.5¢$2,874+$226$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes4,88556.8¢57.5¢$2,809+$33+$161
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes5,97668.8¢45.5¢$2,719−$1,392$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No4,32150.9¢62.5¢$2,700+$502$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes4,60817.6¢57.9¢$2,668+$1,858+$330
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No2,92266.7¢90¢$2,630+$680$0
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No2,50087¢97.5¢$2,437+$262$0
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No3,02967¢73.5¢$2,226+$197$0
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?No2,27875.7¢96.4¢$2,195+$470$0
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?No2,09986.3¢97.2¢$2,039+$228$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No3,00067¢63.5¢$1,905−$105$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No2,00078.1¢90.5¢$1,810+$248+$18
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes33.0k3.4¢4.6¢$1,517+$393$0
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?Yes4,95936.3¢28.5¢$1,413−$385$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes4,88733¢28.5¢$1,393−$220+$10
Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by October 31, 2026?No1,40583.8¢97.5¢$1,369+$191+$9.56
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No1,50083.7¢89.1¢$1,336+$80$0
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?No1,70776.4¢71.2¢$1,215−$90$0
Will Elin Norén be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Dalarna?Yes1,15085.6¢95.9¢$1,102+$118−$56
Will Bengt Bergqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen?Yes1,11984.6¢95.9¢$1,073+$126+$50
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No1,05689.8¢96.1¢$1,015+$66$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes9,3407.4¢10.2¢$948+$253$0
Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?Yes95691.4¢95.1¢$908+$35−$435
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?Yes9,51120.3¢9.5¢$904−$1,028$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes4,00726.6¢20.5¢$821−$245+$426
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes2,00038¢40¢$800+$40$0
Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?Yes85985.2¢90¢$773+$41$0
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes93873¢80.5¢$755+$70$0
Will Angelica Katsanidou be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County?Yes86388.1¢85.5¢$737−$23$0
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1,64219.8¢43.5¢$714+$389$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes3,00026.3¢22.5¢$675−$115−$65
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes9,3667¢7.2¢$670+$12+$105
Will Helena Proos be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?Yes63391¢96.6¢$611+$35$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.0k4.9¢5.9¢$590+$100$0
Saudi troops enter Taiz Governorate by October 31, 2026?No60084.3¢96.2¢$577+$71+$10
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No1,42738¢39.5¢$564+$21$0
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes3,00018.2¢18.5¢$555+$10$0
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?No54988¢95.5¢$524+$41$0
Will Christoffer Öqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?Yes82438.1¢63.5¢$523+$209$0
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Yes1,21835.8¢40.5¢$493+$57$0
Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by December 31, 2026?No42875.1¢82.5¢$353+$32−$18
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes2,03439.9¢15.5¢$315−$497$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes40041¢62.5¢$250+$86+$64
Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?Yes33481.6¢72.5¢$242−$30$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes50020¢19¢$95−$5.00+$31
Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Yes34410.6¢27.5¢$94+$58$0
Saudi troops enter Sanaa by December 31, 2026?No7579¢93.5¢$70+$11$0
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Yes55421.2¢11.5¢$64−$54+$0.95
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Yes1,25021.4¢5¢$63−$205+$90
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes50034¢11¢$55−$115$0
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes9,5060.2¢0.5¢$48+$29+$9.51
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?Yes3617.4¢9¢$33+$5.70+$79
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?Yes2,0001.1¢1.5¢$30+$8.00$0
Saudi troops enter Taiz Governorate by December 31, 2026?No2180¢85.5¢$18+$1.16+$2.09
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes79114.4¢2.1¢$16−$98−$223
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Yes15027¢8¢$12−$29$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseYes9022.5¢0.9¢$7.67−$15$0
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes16011.2¢4.5¢$7.20−$11$0
Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?Yes880¢77.6¢$6.21−$0.19$0
Will Robert Hamberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen?Yes1285¢4.1¢$5.17−$1.21$0
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?No438.7¢75.5¢$3.12+$1.52+$556

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?96.6¢2,013$1,94460%77Sharp
BUY NoWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?68.5¢1,993$1,36560%77Sharp
SELL NoFetterman out by December 31, 2026?97.1¢2,099$2,03860%77Sharp
SELL YesWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?87.2¢1,491$1,30060%77Sharp
SELL YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?76¢568$43260%77Sharp
BUY NoWill Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?38¢385$14660%77Sharp
SELL YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?82¢1,067$87560%77Sharp
SELL NoWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?96.7¢1,500$1,45160%77Sharp
SELL YesWill Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?3.2¢1,969$6360%77Sharp
BUY YesWill Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.6¢564k$3,38660%77Sharp
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?17¢173$2960%77Sharp
BUY YesWill no listed leader be out before 2027?35.8¢1,218$43660%77Sharp
SELL UpBitcoin Up or Down on October 5?79¢1,688$1,33460%77Sharp
SELL NoWill Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?1.2¢97$1.1560%77Sharp
SELL NoWill Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?12.9¢153$2060%77Sharp
SELL NoWill Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?30.1¢564$17060%77Sharp
SELL LulaLula or Bolsonaro favored on October 5?0.5¢3,000$1660%77Sharp
SELL NoSpain snap election called in 2026?15.9¢332$5360%77Sharp
SELL YesWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?69¢371$25660%77Sharp
BUY YesSpain snap election called by October 31?51.6¢848$43860%77Sharp