sharpside
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Traders/Rank #386

Anjun

0x433…8882@AnjunPoly
SharpWhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+Sport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$520kvol $185M
PnL 30d−$311kgains $443k · losses $122k
PnL 7d−$72.3kwin rate 7d 61.1%
Win rate66.1%adj 65.5% · 30d 66.1%
Open value$1.09Mcash n/a
Positions2,000 / 15,557open / all-time
Max drawdown−38.6%of equity peak
Account age5.4ylast trade 35m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$858kbelow peak −$306kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

71/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale82
Adjusted win rateraw 66.1% · shrunk toward 50%64
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity61

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No360k94.6¢97.7¢$351k+$10.9k−$155k
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No125k96.5¢99.8¢$125k+$4,060+$51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No77.8k84.6¢83.5¢$64.9k−$833−$15.4k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No59.8k83.6¢94.5¢$56.6k+$6,543+$8,109
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No34.1k84.7¢97.4¢$33.3k+$4,335$0
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No31.6k62¢87.5¢$27.7k+$8,076−$1,242
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No27.1k51.4¢96.4¢$26.1k+$12.2k$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No27.6k73.5¢93¢$25.7k+$5,379$0
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No20.4k33.9¢96.1¢$19.6k+$12.7k+$506
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No19.6k89.8¢94.8¢$18.6k+$975−$658
Buccaneers vs. CowboysBuccaneers22.2k19¢81.5¢$18.1k+$13.9k$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No12.1k68.7¢96.7¢$11.7k+$3,392$0
Spread: Cowboys (-9.5)Buccaneers11.1k50¢99.5¢$11.0k+$5,494$0
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)Buccaneers11.1k29¢94¢$10.4k+$7,222$0
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?Yes11.2k36.7¢86.5¢$9,686+$5,572+$89
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No13.0k80¢74¢$9,647−$778−$15
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No9,23586.5¢95¢$8,773+$789−$2,583
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?No8,07488.4¢96.8¢$7,816+$674−$960
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions PlayoffsT122.3k36¢32.5¢$7,254−$777$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes11.1k63¢62.5¢$6,944−$56$0
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?No7,02688.9¢96.4¢$6,769+$524−$315
SBF released from custody in 2026?No6,25987.2¢98.5¢$6,162+$702−$146
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?No5,77584.4¢98.6¢$5,691+$818$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes7,22156.7¢77¢$5,560+$1,466$0
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No5,55596¢98.2¢$5,455+$122−$12.6k
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes5,49254.2¢95.5¢$5,245+$2,265+$291
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?No5,06490¢96.4¢$4,879+$322−$129
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?No4,91737¢85.3¢$4,195+$2,375+$209
Will KT Rolster win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026?No7,82866.5¢53¢$4,149−$1,055$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No5,51256.5¢73.5¢$4,051+$936+$32
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No8,40681¢47.1¢$3,959−$2,850$0
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes11.1k36¢35.5¢$3,944−$56$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No4,23473.4¢92.3¢$3,906+$798−$181
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? No3,81895.8¢97.9¢$3,736+$80−$4,688
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No3,75582.8¢84¢$3,154+$46−$4,021
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T?No3,84578¢76.5¢$2,941−$58$0
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?Yes11.6k25¢25¢$2,900+$3.02+$465
Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes21.9k1.4¢12.8¢$2,806+$2,499+$91
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes22.7k1.9¢12¢$2,715+$2,272+$193
Will the International Association of Judges win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes22.0k1.4¢12.2¢$2,673+$2,369$0
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No2,79589¢95.4¢$2,666+$178−$20
Will Paper Rex win VALORANT Champions 2026?No2,68176.3¢91¢$2,440+$393$0
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?No2,40073.9¢94.5¢$2,268+$494−$91
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? No2,28289.5¢97.6¢$2,227+$183−$502
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?No6,84631.4¢32.5¢$2,225+$75+$828
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes10.6k0.9¢20.5¢$2,169+$2,069$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No2,24581.9¢95.9¢$2,153+$313$0
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No2,22289¢96.6¢$2,146+$169$0
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?No2,22297¢96.5¢$2,143−$12$0
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes10.0k1.4¢21¢$2,100+$1,962+$2,244
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?No2,13387¢97.5¢$2,079+$223−$33
Will Tom Holland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026?No2,22770¢83¢$1,848+$289$0
Will Caedrel Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?Yes4,57729¢40¢$1,831+$503+$17
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No1,90590¢94.8¢$1,806+$91$0
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?No1,83989.5¢96¢$1,766+$120+$9.57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No11.2k25.1¢15.5¢$1,729−$1,068+$553
Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?No1,85986¢92¢$1,710+$112$0
LAPTOP listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?No1,61694.3¢98.9¢$1,598+$74−$97
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes9,62253¢15.5¢$1,491−$3,608$0
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?No2,30458.5¢62.4¢$1,437+$89$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,60581¢89.5¢$1,436+$136$0
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes22.0k1.4¢6.5¢$1,419+$1,115$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?No5,78718.5¢24.5¢$1,418+$347+$41
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?No3,30949¢42.5¢$1,406−$215$0
Will keiko have the most kills for NRG at VALORANT Champions 2026?No1,44967.9¢92.8¢$1,344+$360−$14
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027?No2,10517¢61.5¢$1,295+$936+$802
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes21.7k1.4¢5.9¢$1,269+$970+$148
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No2,28175.9¢54.5¢$1,243−$488−$288
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes1,27695.3¢95.5¢$1,218+$1.92−$595
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?Yes3,70732.1¢32.5¢$1,205+$14$0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes44.5k3.3¢2.7¢$1,180−$290+$9,446
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?No1,29677.9¢88¢$1,141+$130$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes22.2k5.8¢5.1¢$1,122−$167+$20.2k
Will Como reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?Yes2,29344.3¢48.5¢$1,112+$95$0
Will Deft play for Nongshim RedForce in 2027?No1,37867.1¢79¢$1,089+$164−$8.31
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes20.0k1.4¢5.3¢$1,050+$774+$97
Will BLG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?No1,30868.5¢79.5¢$1,040+$144+$112
Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes22.0k1.4¢4.6¢$1,001+$697$0
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?No1,07892.3¢92.4¢$995+$0.12−$754
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by October 31?No1,26629.7¢78¢$987+$612+$9.97
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?Yes5,83417¢16.5¢$963−$31$0
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027?No2,8625.6¢33.1¢$947+$787+$253
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?No1,11183¢84.5¢$939+$17$0
Will XRP dip to $1.20 by December 31, 2026?Yes1,47051.5¢59¢$867+$110$0
Will Apyx launch a token by December 31, 2026?No1,66628.3¢50.5¢$841+$369$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?No1,06378¢75.5¢$803−$27$0
Will mada have the most kills for NRG at VALORANT Champions 2026?No1,37059.3¢51.5¢$705−$107$0
Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?No1,13553.9¢57.5¢$653+$41$0
Will Summit be the most played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?No1,02063.9¢63.7¢$649−$2.98−$99
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?Yes3,91514¢16.5¢$646+$98$0
Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes22.0k1.4¢2.9¢$627+$323$0
Will the Florida Panthers record 100+ points?No1,11143¢52.5¢$583+$106$0
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026?Yes10.9k5.3¢5.3¢$574−$5.47+$79
Will Raphinha (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?Yes1,11143¢50.6¢$562+$84$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes10.6k0.9¢5.3¢$555+$455$0
Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes22.0k1.4¢2.3¢$495+$191$0
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes10.6k0.9¢4.5¢$476+$376$0
Will Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes22.0k1.4¢1.9¢$418+$114$0
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Yes2,76929.5¢14.5¢$401−$414$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,2220¢18¢$399+$399$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Abyss be the fewest played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?37.8¢548$20766%71Sharp
BUY NoWill Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a polar bear?99.6¢133$13266%71Sharp
BUY NoWill Zendaya rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026?72.3¢446$32266%71Sharp
BUY NoWill Tom Holland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026?69.7¢1,996$1,39266%71Sharp
BUY YesWill XRP dip to $1.20 by December 31, 2026?51.5¢1,470$75866%71Sharp
BUY NoWill the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by October 31?29.7¢1,318$39166%71Sharp
BUY NoIsrael military action against Lebanon on October 20?10.5¢453$4866%71Sharp
BUY NoIsrael military action against Lebanon on October 23?9.5¢410$3966%71Sharp
BUY NoIsrael military action against Lebanon on October 29?9.3¢809$7566%71Sharp
BUY NoIsrael military action against Lebanon on October 31?8.4¢838$7066%71Sharp
BUY YesWill Jinggg have the most kills for Paper Rex at VALORANT Champions 2026?32.3¢1,430$46166%71Sharp
BUY NoWill Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?89¢1,632$1,45366%71Sharp
BUY NoWill tkzin have the most kills on a single map at VALORANT Champions 2026?11.5¢1,354$15666%71Sharp
BUY NoWill Deft play for Nongshim RedForce in 2027?78.3¢398$31266%71Sharp
BUY NoWill d4v41 have the most kills for Paper Rex at VALORANT Champions 2026?62.1¢388$24166%71Sharp
BUY YesWill keiko have the most kills for NRG at VALORANT Champions 2026?1.3¢61$0.8066%71Sharp
BUY NoWill mada have the most kills for NRG at VALORANT Champions 2026?52¢60$3166%71Sharp
BUY NoWill brawk have the most kills for NRG at VALORANT Champions 2026?48.8¢195$9566%71Sharp
BUY NoWill Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to an enderman again?26¢60$1666%71Sharp
BUY Shopify RebellionLoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage11.9¢2,882$34466%71Sharp