sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,250

4751346

0x6dd…f5f4
SharpWhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$158kvol $11.7M
PnL 30d−$4,401gains $23.5k · losses $18.6k
PnL 7d+$2,709win rate 7d 74.1%
Win rate73.2%adj 72.3% · 30d 69.7%
Open value$117kcash n/a
Positions225 / 2,394open / all-time
Max drawdown−6.5%of equity peak
Account age5.7ylast trade 12h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$178kbelow peak −$10.6kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

82/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale74
Adjusted win rateraw 73.2% · shrunk toward 50%81
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity94

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes30.5k88.7¢96.6¢$29.5k+$2,409+$921
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No12.6k90.9¢97¢$12.2k+$760+$137
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?No9,61887.7¢96.5¢$9,277+$842+$250
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No8,19290.9¢94.5¢$7,741+$296+$125
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes6,91989.2¢99.1¢$6,853+$681+$504
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No4,75093.7¢96.3¢$4,572+$121+$5.00
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No4,08885.1¢90.5¢$3,700+$222+$1,414
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No3,53080.5¢83.5¢$2,948+$107−$748
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No2,87089.1¢95.5¢$2,741+$183+$57
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes2,75086.6¢90.5¢$2,489+$108+$25
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No2,58087.9¢94.5¢$2,438+$169+$98
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes5,80344.1¢41.3¢$2,394−$165+$14
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?No2,18084.7¢91.5¢$1,995+$149+$24
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes4,02346.6¢48.6¢$1,953+$77−$135
SBF released from custody in 2026?No1,96089.1¢98.5¢$1,930+$183+$492
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No1,63091.1¢97.5¢$1,589+$103+$4.85
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes2,17558.5¢62.5¢$1,359+$86+$47
Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes1,34878.6¢94.1¢$1,268+$209$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No1,44080.6¢82.1¢$1,182+$21+$1.21
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No1,06891.3¢98.2¢$1,049+$74+$21
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No1,00092¢99.2¢$992+$72$0
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1,13780.2¢80.5¢$916+$3.01+$0.73
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes1,30672.3¢68¢$888−$56−$51
Trump out as President before 2027?No90085¢95.7¢$861+$96+$11
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes90075.9¢85.7¢$771+$87+$211
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?No75087.3¢94.5¢$709+$54$0
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?No67888¢96.4¢$654+$57+$26
Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Yes65096.3¢98.2¢$638+$12+$9.10
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?No84983.8¢72.5¢$616−$96+$5.44
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No60090.3¢98.9¢$593+$51+$244
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes3,88019.4¢15.2¢$588−$164−$9.64
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No60184¢94.5¢$568+$63+$76
Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes60586.5¢93.5¢$565+$42$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No57692.6¢97.7¢$563+$29+$53
Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes90061.4¢61¢$549−$3.38$0
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No40094.3¢97.5¢$390+$13+$14
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No51572.3¢75.5¢$389+$16+$11
Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No40085.5¢96¢$384+$42$0
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes35010.5¢100¢$350+$313+$224
UFC Fight Night: Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan (Welterweight, Prelims)Leon Shahbazyan60058¢57.5¢$345−$3.00$0
UFC Fight Night: Gerald Meerschaert vs. Julius Walker (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)Julius Walker45973¢73.5¢$337+$2.40$0
Will Solana reach $160 in October?No30092¢96.9¢$291+$15$0
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?Yes30097¢94.9¢$285−$6.45$0
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?No28493¢98.5¢$279+$16+$4.00
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?No35475¢74.5¢$264−$1.66−$102
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No25589.1¢96.6¢$246+$19+$75
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No26158.8¢87.5¢$228+$75+$31
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes3,0007.5¢7.5¢$224−$2.16+$4.77
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Yes25085¢88.5¢$221+$8.75+$11
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No27869.4¢78.5¢$218+$25+$8.26
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No21785.1¢95¢$206+$21+$117
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?No20089.5¢95.4¢$191+$12$0
Will Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?Yes21378.7¢89.5¢$191+$23$0
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No19186.5¢94¢$180+$14$0
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?No20073.4¢88¢$176+$29$0
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes20080¢81.5¢$163+$3.00+$4.00
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No20034¢81.5¢$163+$95$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes80026¢19.9¢$159−$49+$6.00
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes22541.7¢64.5¢$145+$51$0
Lalit Modi to announce new MMA league by the end of 2026?No16085¢82¢$131−$4.80$0
Will Tatsuro Taira be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No12771.8¢100¢$127+$36$0
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?No10090¢92.5¢$93+$2.50$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes6006.2¢15.1¢$90+$53+$43
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No10032¢89¢$89+$57$0
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes10040.2¢85.4¢$85+$45$0
Will Lerone Murphy be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No8094¢100¢$80+$4.77$0
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes12282¢59¢$72−$28$0
Will Sean O'Malley be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No6981¢99.5¢$68+$13$0
Will Josh Hokit be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes19324¢28.2¢$54+$8.01+$0.30
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?No15066¢31¢$47−$53$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes25924.5¢17.8¢$46−$17+$354
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No3789.3¢99.4¢$37+$3.72+$51
Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes3257.8¢94.7¢$31+$12$0
Will GBP/USD hit 1.70 (High) in 2026?No3094¢96.8¢$29+$0.82$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes20046¢14.5¢$29−$63$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes30829¢8¢$25−$65$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes3854.5¢5.9¢$23+$5.45+$4.65
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5,0001.5¢0.5¢$22−$52$0
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?Yes2470¢92.1¢$22+$5.20+$11
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes4002.9¢4.6¢$18+$6.80$0
Will ropz Get Pulled Over Again in 2026?No2076¢91¢$18+$3.00$0
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?Yes10033¢17¢$17−$16$0
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?No1088¢94¢$9.40+$0.60$0
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Yes15033¢5.5¢$8.25−$41$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No2889.2¢28.7¢$7.96−$17$0
Will Sergei Pavlovich become UFC champion in 2026?No696¢97¢$5.71+$0.06$0
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes15521¢3.6¢$5.58−$27+$0.55
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No587¢96.7¢$4.83+$0.48+$16
Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes40759.3¢0.8¢$3.05−$239−$21
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes16458.6¢1.3¢$2.14−$94−$33
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Yes2529.1¢6¢$1.51−$5.82−$44
Will Benoît Saint Denis be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes1165.2¢0.1¢$0.06−$5.94+$0.19
Will Umar Nurmagomedov be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes10518.2¢0.1¢$0.05−$19$0
Will Michael Morales be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes9912¢0.1¢$0.05−$12+$0.04
Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes187¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.25−$4.62
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)Cory Sandhagen7,48015.6¢0¢$0−$1,166+$4.11
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)Umar Nurmagomedov6,59485.8¢0¢$0−$5,656+$56
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No5,5150.8¢0¢$0−$42−$19
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)Ian Machado Garry5,13814.6¢0¢$0−$752−$912
UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)Myktybek Orolbai4,94089.9¢0¢$0−$4,442+$29

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY Julius WalkerUFC Fight Night: Gerald Meerschaert vs. Julius Walker (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)73¢246$18073%82Sharp
SELL Alivia BierleyDana White's Contender Series: Alivia Bierley vs. Summer Onley (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)54.4¢95$5273%82Sharp
SELL Alivia BierleyDana White's Contender Series: Alivia Bierley vs. Summer Onley (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)66.9¢300$20173%82Sharp
SELL Alivia BierleyDana White's Contender Series: Alivia Bierley vs. Summer Onley (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)72.1¢250$18073%82Sharp
SELL Alivia BierleyDana White's Contender Series: Alivia Bierley vs. Summer Onley (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)70.9¢552$39273%82Sharp
BUY Alivia BierleyDana White's Contender Series: Alivia Bierley vs. Summer Onley (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)72¢250$18073%82Sharp
BUY Alivia BierleyDana White's Contender Series: Alivia Bierley vs. Summer Onley (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)81.6¢200$16373%82Sharp
BUY Alivia BierleyDana White's Contender Series: Alivia Bierley vs. Summer Onley (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)87.8¢443$38973%82Sharp
BUY Alivia BierleyDana White's Contender Series: Alivia Bierley vs. Summer Onley (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)86.9¢200$17473%82Sharp
BUY Summer OnleyDana White's Contender Series: Alivia Bierley vs. Summer Onley (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)55¢250$13773%82Sharp
SELL Alivia BierleyDana White's Contender Series: Alivia Bierley vs. Summer Onley (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)42.6¢270$11573%82Sharp
SELL Alivia BierleyDana White's Contender Series: Alivia Bierley vs. Summer Onley (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)49¢34$1773%82Sharp
SELL Alivia BierleyDana White's Contender Series: Alivia Bierley vs. Summer Onley (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)51.3¢250$12873%82Sharp
SELL Alivia BierleyDana White's Contender Series: Alivia Bierley vs. Summer Onley (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)51.5¢100$5273%82Sharp
SELL Alivia BierleyDana White's Contender Series: Alivia Bierley vs. Summer Onley (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)45.9¢100$4673%82Sharp
SELL Alivia BierleyDana White's Contender Series: Alivia Bierley vs. Summer Onley (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)44.7¢80$3673%82Sharp
BUY Alivia BierleyDana White's Contender Series: Alivia Bierley vs. Summer Onley (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)51¢44$2273%82Sharp
BUY Alivia BierleyDana White's Contender Series: Alivia Bierley vs. Summer Onley (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)43¢250$10873%82Sharp
BUY Alivia BierleyDana White's Contender Series: Alivia Bierley vs. Summer Onley (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)45¢100$4573%82Sharp
BUY NoWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?95.7¢800$76673%82Sharp