sharpside
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Traders/Rank #7,676

GOLADS96

0x894…04e2
WhaleWR 70+WR 60+<30d oldPoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$4,614vol $379k
PnL 30d−$2,482gains $4,924 · losses $3,373
PnL 7d−$2,352win rate 7d 70.4%
Win rate76.2%adj 67.7% · 30d 76.2%
Open value$129kcash n/a
Positions62 / 104open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age17dlast trade 3d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$2,610below peak −$2,624Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

28/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 76.2% · shrunk toward 50%69
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable67
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d89
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 62

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No38.9k85.3¢82.5¢$32.1k−$1,087$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No15.0k90¢95.9¢$14.4k+$878$0
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?No13.0k90¢93¢$12.1k+$395$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No10,00077.5¢85.5¢$8,550+$800$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No6,41392.4¢93.5¢$5,996+$71$0
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic6,19295.7¢95.5¢$5,913−$12$0
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?No5,00088.5¢90.5¢$4,525+$100$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes5,00083¢84.5¢$4,225+$75$0
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?No4,27388.5¢97.9¢$4,181+$399$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes13.0k21.8¢24.5¢$3,182+$355$0
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 10, 2026?No3,00093¢99.3¢$2,978+$188$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No3,00093¢95.9¢$2,877+$87$0
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?No3,00089.3¢94.8¢$2,844+$164$0
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?No2,94290.9¢87.5¢$2,574−$99$0
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?No3,43172.8¢74.5¢$2,556+$57$0
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?No2,50095¢92.5¢$2,313−$63$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No2,50082¢87.5¢$2,188+$138$0
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 31, 2026?No2,06078¢93.5¢$1,926+$319$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No8,80030¢21.5¢$1,892−$748−$389
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?No2,15988.5¢85.1¢$1,838−$74$0
Saudi troops enter Taiz Governorate by October 31, 2026?No1,50084.6¢97¢$1,454+$185$0
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No1,60090.9¢89.5¢$1,432−$23$0
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?No1,43776¢95.5¢$1,372+$280$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?No1,20086.7¢97.9¢$1,174+$133$0
Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by October 31, 2026?No86089.6¢96.9¢$834+$63$0
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)No80081¢86.5¢$692+$44$0
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes67686¢80.5¢$544−$37$0
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes80050¢42.5¢$340−$60$0
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?Yes37469.2¢83.4¢$312+$53$0
Israel military action against Yemen by October 31?No35089¢86¢$301−$11$0
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No29490¢97.3¢$286+$21$0
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 15, 2026?No35932¢66¢$237+$122$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No95013.4¢23¢$218+$91$0
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 12?Yes31062.4¢67¢$208+$14$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No44435¢45.5¢$202+$47$0
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?Yes21067.7¢73¢$153+$11$0
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?No72114¢18.5¢$133+$33$0
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?Yes45848.5¢26.5¢$121−$101$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes10.0k3.8¢0.9¢$85−$295$0
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?No10074¢73.5¢$74−$0.50$0
Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31?No10075¢58.5¢$59−$17$0
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes5,0001.5¢1.2¢$58−$18$0
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?Yes5162.6¢72.5¢$37+$5.10$0
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31?No10811¢9.5¢$10−$1.62$0
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?No3622¢25¢$9.10+$1.09$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No6,00013¢0¢$0−$780$0
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageLegacy2,00057¢0¢$0−$1,140−$25
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage9z1,50025¢0¢$0−$375−$0.43
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?No1,30064.4¢0¢$0−$837$0
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsFURIA1,00042¢0¢$0−$420−$12
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs SINQU (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group ASINQU1,00021¢0¢$0−$210$0
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Orion Wanderers (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group AOrion Wanderers75011¢0¢$0−$83$0
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageSpirit75063¢0¢$0−$473−$8.74
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageLegacy75056¢0¢$0−$420−$9.24
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs STATE (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsSTATE50016¢0¢$0−$80$0
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StagePARIVISION50034¢0¢$0−$170−$5.61
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?Yes3731.3¢0¢$0−$4.85$0
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 3?Yes33351¢0¢$0−$170$0
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageG230358¢0¢$0−$176$0
Counter-Strike: OG vs Falcons Force (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group AOG30071¢0¢$0−$213$0
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Lazer Cats (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group BRebels Gaming24854¢0¢$0−$134−$0.25
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Noir Verse (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #10 PlayoffsOmega7640¢0¢$0−$30$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesPakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?23.7¢1,500$35676%28
BUY NoHouthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?73¢462$33776%28
BUY AnthropicWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?96¢1,792$1,72176%28
BUY NoSaudi troops enter Marib Governorate by October 31, 2026?90.3¢750$67776%28
BUY YesPakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?71.7¢1,000$71776%28
BUY YesPakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?71.7¢500$35876%28
BUY SpiritCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner51¢105$5476%28
BUY SpiritCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs56¢1,200$67276%28
BUY FURIACounter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs42¢1,000$42076%28
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?30¢10.0k$3,00076%28
SELL YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?33¢3,844$1,26876%28
SELL YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?71¢3,299$2,34276%28
SELL NoWill the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?97.4¢577$56276%28
BUY Falcons ForceCounter-Strike: Falcons Force vs SINQU (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group A74¢25$1976%28
BUY Rebels GamingCounter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Lazer Cats (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group B54¢20$1176%28
BUY AcendCounter-Strike: Acend vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs61¢491$29976%28
BUY PURECounter-Strike: G2 Ares vs PURE (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group A51¢78$4076%28
BUY 9zCounter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage25¢46$1276%28
BUY LegacyCounter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage57¢2,000$1,14076%28
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?93¢2,533$2,35576%28