| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 2,112 | 71.2¢ | 87¢ | $1,837 | +$334 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1,255 | 50.9¢ | 63.5¢ | $797 | +$158 | $0 | |
| Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31? | No | 658 | 86.6¢ | 91.5¢ | $602 | +$32 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 711 | 37¢ | 82.5¢ | $586 | +$323 | +$47 | |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 648 | 62.2¢ | 89¢ | $577 | +$174 | +$76 | |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | No | 662 | 60.4¢ | 85.5¢ | $566 | +$166 | $0 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 599 | 66.7¢ | 69.5¢ | $416 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 543 | 60¢ | 63.5¢ | $345 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | Yes | 322 | 37.8¢ | 47.5¢ | $153 | +$31 | $0 | |
| Will Cristina Fernández de Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | 8,252 | 0.4¢ | 1.4¢ | $116 | +$86 | $0 | |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | Yes | 360 | 27.8¢ | 28.5¢ | $102 | +$2.47 | $0 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 126 | 79.3¢ | 77.8¢ | $98 | −$1.95 | $0 | |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%? | No | 91 | 77.2¢ | 65.5¢ | $59 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 462 | 13¢ | 11.5¢ | $53 | −$6.92 | $0 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 180 | 16.7¢ | 17.8¢ | $32 | +$1.89 | $0 | |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? | Yes | 52 | 19.4¢ | 61¢ | $31 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 93 | 21.5¢ | 28.6¢ | $27 | +$6.60 | $0 | |
| Will Juan Schiaretti win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | 2,308 | 0.4¢ | 0.6¢ | $14 | +$3.85 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 15 | 65¢ | 62.5¢ | $9.62 | −$0.38 | $0 | |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 349 | 4.3¢ | 2.5¢ | $8.55 | −$6.45 | $0 | |
| Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | 1,346 | 0.7¢ | 0.3¢ | $4.04 | −$5.96 | $0 | |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 35% and 39.9%? | Yes | 145 | 20.6¢ | 0.8¢ | $1.09 | −$29 | $0 | |
| Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | 7 | 5.2¢ | 7.5¢ | $0.49 | +$0.15 | $0 | |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 40% and 44.9%? | Yes | 98 | 20.3¢ | 0.3¢ | $0.30 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | No | 15.3k | 1.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$245 | +$20 | |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7,569 | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$140 | +$138 | |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 10-16? | No | 2,791 | 3.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$110 | $0 | |
| Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week? | Yes | 2,500 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Will "Coyote vs. Acme" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 20m? | Yes | 2,000 | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$18 | −$0.89 | |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026? | No | 1,856 | 39.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$740 | $0 | |
| Will Peru win Miss Universe 2025? | Yes | 1,599 | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 1,542 | 2.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$35 | $0 | |
| Will anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech? | Yes | 1,395 | 5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$70 | $0 | |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 1,375 | 29.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$400 | −$11 | |
| Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-15? | Yes | 1,071 | 28¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$300 | −$11 | |
| Will Peru take second place in Miss Universe 2025? | Yes | 821 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 812 | 4.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$40 | −$1.52 | |
| Will annual inflation increase by between 33% and 35.9% in December? | Yes | 767 | 8.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$67 | $0 | |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina"? | Yes | 755 | 39.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$301 | $0 | |
| Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? | No | 714 | 28¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$200 | $0 | |
| Will CA Platense win on 2026-02-15? | Yes | 683 | 15.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$107 | $0 | |
| Valorant: ALT F4 vs Melser Kindergarten (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stage | ALT F4 | 667 | 28.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$187 | $0 | |
| Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-01-23? | Yes | 526 | 19¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-04-28? | Yes | 507 | 23.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$120 | −$2.66 | |
| Will Venezuela take second place in Miss Universe 2025? | Yes | 500 | 3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will "Coyote vs. Acme" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m? | Yes | 485 | 4.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | −$0.96 | |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 470 | 35.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$167 | −$5.06 | |
| Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-02-15? | Yes | 427 | 11.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-01-23? | Yes | 400 | 25¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-01-24? | Yes | 400 | 20¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$80 | $0 | |
| Exact Score: CA River Plate 0 - 2 CA Belgrano? | Yes | 379 | 5.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | −$0.57 | |
| Will CA Barracas Central win on 2025-11-08? | Yes | 350 | 17¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$60 | $0 | |
| Exact Score: CA River Plate 1 - 2 CA Belgrano? | Yes | 334 | 6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | −$0.56 | |
| Will CA Platense win on 2025-11-08? | Yes | 329 | 19.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$65 | $0 | |
| Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 0 Uruguay? | Yes | 327 | 9.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | −$0.82 | |
| Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | Yes | 306 | 65.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$200 | $0 | |
| Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%? | Yes | 285 | 15.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$45 | −$1.90 | |
| Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-05? | Yes | 280 | 25¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$70 | −$1.54 | |
| Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-04-15? | Yes | 279 | 7.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 273 | 11¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | −$0.80 | |
| Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%? | Yes | 259 | 11.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-03-23? | Yes | 250 | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | $0 | |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026? | No | 227 | 65¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$147 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 226 | 26.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$60 | −$1.76 | |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1475.00 and 1499.99 on December 31 2025? | Yes | 220 | 34.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$75 | $0 | |
| Maduro out by December 31, 2026? | No | 217 | 46¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | Yes | 216 | 23.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | −$1.15 | |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? | Yes | 216 | 46.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? | No | 214 | 14¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | −$0.77 | |
| U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | No | 201 | 49.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | No | 200 | 35¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$70 | $0 | |
| Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-08-23? | Yes | 200 | 15¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | −$1.27 | |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 192 | 7.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | −$0.41 | |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 188 | 16¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | −$1.01 | |
| Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-09-06? | Yes | 188 | 16¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | −$1.26 | |
| Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-03-23? | Yes | 182 | 16.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%? | Yes | 179 | 48.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$86 | $0 | |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026? | No | 171 | 58.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%? | Yes | 170 | 29.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | −$1.74 | |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | No | 167 | 30¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | −$1.05 | |
| Maduro out by March 31, 2026? | No | 159 | 63¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Eight War" or "Eighth War" while addressing the nation on December 17? | No | 157 | 38.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$60 | $0 | |
| Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? | Yes | 150 | 66.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on March 22? | Yes | 137 | 51¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$70 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Tax on Tips" while addressing the nation on December 17? | No | 130 | 40¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$52 | $0 | |
| Will Barcelona SC win on 2026-04-14? | Yes | 122 | 8.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on March 22? | Yes | 117 | 34.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$40 | $0 | |
| Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31? | No | 107 | 18.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 105 | 19¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | −$0.49 | |
| Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 104 | 41¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$43 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on March 23? | Yes | 102 | 29.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on March 23? | Yes | 102 | 29.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on July 31? | Yes | 102 | 98.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$0.08 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on March 23? | Yes | 101 | 29.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "AI" during C5+1 Summit on November 6? | No | 100 | 36¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$36 | $0 | |
| Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw? | Yes | 100 | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10 | −$0.27 | |
| Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-08-12? | Yes | 100 | 27¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$27 | −$0.99 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 27? | Yes | 97 | 41.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$40 | −$1.18 | |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | No | 97 | 31¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | −$0.62 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on March 23? | Yes | 97 | 31¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | $0 | |