Traders/Rank #230

0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A

0xa3a…5106

PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+PoliticsSport

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$840kvol $30.6M

PnL 30d−$332kgains $458k · losses $7,532

PnL 7d−$76.5kwin rate 7d 55.0%

Win rate66.4%adj 65.0% · 30d 62.5%

Open value$20.0kcash n/a

Positions697 / 937open / all-time

Max drawdown−94.2%of equity peak

Account age9molast trade 1m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$812kbelow peak $0Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

58/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale85

Adjusted win rateraw 66.4% · shrunk toward 50%63

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable99

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity6

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesclosed+$321k Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesopen+$189k Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yesopen+$152k Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yesopen+$104k Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yesopen+$59.1k

Worst markets

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesopen−$42.4k Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the Super Bowl LX MVP? · Yesopen−$17.5k Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesopen−$14.3k Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesopen−$14.1k Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesopen−$14.1k

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	12.0k	0.8¢	42.8¢	$5,130	+$5,036	+$147k	6mo
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	10.0k	6.7¢	15.5¢	$1,550	+$883	+$188k	ended
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	5,200	0.8¢	18.5¢	$962	+$921	+$103k	6mo
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5,000	0.8¢	18¢	$898	+$858	+$8,968	25mo
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5,000	0.8¢	15.1¢	$753	+$713	+$7,082	25mo
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	68.4k	0.8¢	0.7¢	$445	−$89	$0	25mo
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	12.0k	0.8¢	3.5¢	$414	+$321	+$14.9k	6mo
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	2,300	0.8¢	17.8¢	$411	+$393	+$9,937	25mo
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	3,000	0.8¢	12.5¢	$375	+$352	+$54.4k	6mo
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	12.0k	0.8¢	2.8¢	$330	+$236	+$9,171	6mo
Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	800	1.8¢	35.4¢	$283	+$269	+$16	7mo
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	1,624	0.8¢	13.2¢	$214	+$201	+$24.7k	6mo
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	3,229	0.8¢	5.9¢	$192	+$167	+$2,340	25mo
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	800	1.8¢	21.5¢	$172	+$158	+$9.29	7mo
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	37.3k	0.7¢	0.5¢	$168	−$103	−$120	25mo
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	322k	0.8¢	0.1¢	$161	−$2,313	−$814	6mo
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	322k	0.8¢	0.1¢	$161	−$2,313	−$818	6mo
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	322k	0.8¢	0.1¢	$161	−$2,313	−$770	6mo
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	322k	0.8¢	0.1¢	$161	−$2,313	−$819	6mo
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	322k	0.8¢	0.1¢	$161	−$2,313	−$820	6mo
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	322k	0.8¢	0.1¢	$161	−$2,313	−$811	6mo
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	316k	0.8¢	0.1¢	$158	−$2,270	−$851	6mo
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	315k	0.8¢	0.1¢	$158	−$2,263	−$859	6mo
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	314k	0.8¢	0.1¢	$157	−$2,255	−$860	6mo
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	314k	0.8¢	0.1¢	$157	−$2,255	−$837	6mo
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	314k	0.8¢	0.1¢	$157	−$2,255	−$862	6mo
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	314k	0.8¢	0.1¢	$157	−$2,252	−$816	6mo
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	314k	0.8¢	0.1¢	$157	−$2,251	−$664	6mo
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	313k	0.8¢	0.1¢	$157	−$2,247	−$875	6mo
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	310k	0.8¢	0.1¢	$155	−$2,225	−$727	6mo
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	28.1k	0.8¢	0.5¢	$155	−$65	−$140	25mo
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	304k	0.8¢	0.1¢	$152	−$2,182	−$913	6mo
Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	287k	0.8¢	0.1¢	$144	−$2,058	−$1,259	6mo
Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	287k	0.8¢	0.1¢	$144	−$2,058	−$1,260	6mo
Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	287k	0.8¢	0.1¢	$144	−$2,058	−$1,250	6mo
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	2,540	0.8¢	5.1¢	$128	+$108	+$2,402	25mo
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5,000	0.8¢	2.6¢	$128	+$88	+$1,061	25mo
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	49.3k	0.7¢	0.3¢	$123	−$235	−$48	25mo
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	305	1.3¢	40.1¢	$122	+$118	+$59.0k	3mo
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5,000	0.8¢	2.4¢	$120	+$81	−$121	25mo
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	111k	0.8¢	0.1¢	$111	−$732	−$1,830	6mo
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5,000	0.8¢	2.1¢	$103	+$63	+$1,294	25mo
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	12.0k	0.8¢	0.9¢	$102	+$8.30	+$15.2k	6mo
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	203k	0.8¢	0.1¢	$102	−$1,444	−$1,588	6mo
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	9,818	0.8¢	1¢	$98	+$22	+$4,565	6mo
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	9,696	0.8¢	1¢	$97	+$21	+$1,754	6mo
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	187k	0.8¢	0.1¢	$94	−$1,326	−$1,521	6mo
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	6,795	0.8¢	1.4¢	$92	+$39	+$212	25mo
Will Đuro Macut win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	729	1.8¢	12.5¢	$91	+$78	+$14	7mo
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	15.1k	0.8¢	0.6¢	$90	−$27	−$1,764	6mo
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	12.0k	0.8¢	0.8¢	$90	−$3.37	+$247	6mo
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	7,200	0.8¢	1.3¢	$90	+$34	+$4,153	6mo
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	58.3k	0.7¢	0.2¢	$88	−$336	$0	25mo
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	4,870	0.8¢	1.8¢	$85	+$47	+$815	25mo
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	55.0k	0.8¢	0.2¢	$82	−$336	−$43	25mo
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	49.3k	0.7¢	0.2¢	$74	−$285	−$57	25mo
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	49.0k	0.8¢	0.2¢	$73	−$299	−$75	25mo
Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	133k	0.8¢	0.1¢	$67	−$934	−$2,240	6mo
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	2,284	0.8¢	2.9¢	$65	+$47	+$906	25mo
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	130k	1.3¢	0.1¢	$65	−$1,609	$0	3mo
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	130k	1.3¢	0.1¢	$65	−$1,609	$0	22d 3h
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	130k	1.3¢	0.1¢	$65	−$1,609	$0	3mo
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	130k	1.3¢	0.1¢	$65	−$1,609	$0	22d 3h
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	130k	1.3¢	0.1¢	$65	−$1,609	$0	22d 3h
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	130k	1.3¢	0.1¢	$65	−$1,609	$0	22d 3h
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	130k	1.3¢	0.1¢	$65	−$1,609	$0	22d 3h
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	129k	1.3¢	0.1¢	$65	−$1,600	−$8.41	3mo
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	129k	1.3¢	0.1¢	$64	−$1,591	−$18	3mo
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	100	11.1¢	63.5¢	$64	+$52	+$136	26d 3h
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5,000	0.8¢	1.3¢	$63	+$23	+$215	25mo
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	4,878	0.8¢	1.3¢	$61	+$23	+$657	25mo
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	4,953	0.8¢	1.1¢	$52	+$13	+$50	25mo
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	4,939	0.8¢	1.1¢	$52	+$13	+$241	25mo
Will Vladan Petrov win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	784	1.8¢	4.6¢	$36	+$22	+$4.04	7mo
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	10.0k	0.8¢	0.4¢	$35	−$43	−$228	25mo
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	2,500	0.8¢	1.4¢	$34	+$14	−$69	25mo
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	4,450	0.8¢	0.7¢	$31	−$3.61	+$89	25mo
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	4,713	0.8¢	0.7¢	$31	−$6.18	−$141	25mo
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	12.0k	0.8¢	0.3¢	$30	−$63	−$118	6mo
Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	198	0.9¢	13.5¢	$27	+$25	+$82	4mo
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	49.3k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$25	−$334	−$57	25mo
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	49.3k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$25	−$334	−$57	25mo
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	49.3k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$25	−$334	−$57	25mo
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	46.3k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$23	−$314	−$73	25mo
Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	200	0.9¢	11.5¢	$23	+$21	+$75	4mo
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	100	2.1¢	22.5¢	$23	+$20	+$57	9mo
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	3,395	0.8¢	0.7¢	$22	−$4.45	−$101	25mo
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	14.6k	0.8¢	0.2¢	$22	−$89	−$2,110	6mo
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	13.2k	3.6¢	0.2¢	$20	−$452	−$488	19d 3h
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	12.8k	3.6¢	0.2¢	$19	−$438	−$505	19d 3h
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	9,600	3.6¢	0.2¢	$19	−$324	−$599	19d 3h
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	100	2.4¢	18.5¢	$19	+$16	+$47	9mo
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	4,097	0.8¢	0.5¢	$18	−$14	−$144	25mo
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	12.0k	0.8¢	0.2¢	$18	−$76	−$2,718	6mo
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	12.0k	0.8¢	0.2¢	$18	−$75	−$2,870	6mo
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	12.0k	0.8¢	0.2¢	$18	−$75	−$2,753	6mo
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	12.0k	0.8¢	0.2¢	$18	−$75	−$3,094	6mo
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	1,711	1.3¢	1.1¢	$18	−$4.25	+$314	3mo
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5,004	0.8¢	0.4¢	$18	−$22	−$194	25mo
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	33.8k	0.8¢	0.1¢	$17	−$247	−$203	25mo

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
1m ago	SELL Yes	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	0.4¢	100	$0.40	66%	58
1m ago	SELL Yes	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	0.1¢	100	$0.10	66%	58
1m ago	SELL Yes	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	0.3¢	100	$0.30	66%	58
1m ago	SELL Yes	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2.8¢	100	$2.80	66%	58
1m ago	SELL Yes	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1¢	100	$1.00	66%	58
1m ago	SELL Yes	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	0.4¢	100	$0.40	66%	58
1m ago	SELL Yes	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2.3¢	12	$0.29	66%	58
1m ago	SELL Yes	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	0.1¢	100	$0.10	66%	58
6m ago	SELL Yes	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	0.4¢	492	$1.97	66%	58
6m ago	SELL Yes	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	0.1¢	500	$0.50	66%	58
6m ago	SELL Yes	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	0.1¢	500	$0.50	66%	58
6m ago	SELL Yes	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	0.3¢	500	$1.50	66%	58
6m ago	SELL Yes	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	0.4¢	500	$2.00	66%	58
6m ago	SELL Yes	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2.9¢	500	$15	66%	58
6m ago	SELL Yes	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1¢	500	$5.00	66%	58
13m ago	SELL Yes	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	0.3¢	500	$1.50	66%	58
13m ago	SELL Yes	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	0.1¢	500	$0.50	66%	58
13m ago	SELL Yes	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	0.4¢	490	$1.96	66%	58
13m ago	SELL Yes	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1¢	500	$5.00	66%	58
13m ago	SELL Yes	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	0.1¢	500	$0.50	66%	58