| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 101k | 99.2¢ | 99.7¢ | $101k | +$503 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 35.2k | 84¢ | 84.5¢ | $29.7k | +$176 | +$56 | |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 31.2k | 95.2¢ | 94.7¢ | $29.5k | −$154 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | No | 31.2k | 86.4¢ | 88.5¢ | $27.6k | +$650 | +$138 | |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 70.5k | 30¢ | 39.1¢ | $27.5k | +$6,399 | +$1,640 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 42.2k | 69.1¢ | 64.5¢ | $27.2k | −$1,922 | $0 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 25.6k | 62¢ | 84.5¢ | $21.6k | +$5,750 | $0 | |
| Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 20.5k | 91.4¢ | 91.5¢ | $18.8k | +$27 | +$2.35 | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 25.1k | 69¢ | 71¢ | $17.8k | +$491 | +$1,213 | |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 19.2k | 81.4¢ | 87.5¢ | $16.8k | +$1,170 | +$1,375 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 19.4k | 67¢ | 79.5¢ | $15.4k | +$2,422 | +$853 | |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 15.3k | 96¢ | 96.7¢ | $14.7k | +$93 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 17.9k | 75.6¢ | 81.5¢ | $14.6k | +$1,058 | +$234 | |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 17.8k | 77.6¢ | 81.5¢ | $14.5k | +$697 | $0 | |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 13.9k | 90.9¢ | 97.6¢ | $13.5k | +$929 | +$1,409 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 15.0k | 88.7¢ | 88.5¢ | $13.3k | −$36 | +$1,017 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 22.1k | 38.2¢ | 58¢ | $12.8k | +$4,371 | $0 | |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 13.9k | 78.5¢ | 84.5¢ | $11.8k | +$829 | +$171 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 16.0k | 64.5¢ | 69.5¢ | $11.1k | +$793 | $0 | |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | No | 13.4k | 66¢ | 77.5¢ | $10.4k | +$1,539 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 14.1k | 62.9¢ | 62¢ | $8,756 | −$124 | −$1,023 | |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 10.9k | 85.3¢ | 79.5¢ | $8,629 | −$631 | $0 | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 14.8k | 37.5¢ | 57.5¢ | $8,535 | +$2,972 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 16.9k | 60¢ | 48¢ | $8,091 | −$2,026 | −$9,581 | |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026? | No | 7,709 | 92.1¢ | 94.5¢ | $7,285 | +$188 | $0 | |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 7,013 | 96.8¢ | 97.5¢ | $6,838 | +$48 | $0 | |
| Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 6,684 | 99.2¢ | 99.5¢ | $6,650 | +$23 | $0 | |
| Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 6,881 | 88.3¢ | 93.4¢ | $6,427 | +$348 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October? | No | 5,806 | 96.4¢ | 96.1¢ | $5,580 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 5,889 | 82.9¢ | 87.6¢ | $5,162 | +$279 | +$8.79 | |
| Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 5,245 | 97.5¢ | 97.8¢ | $5,130 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 5,324 | 92.9¢ | 95.3¢ | $5,071 | +$126 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | Yes | 5,050 | 67.3¢ | 76.5¢ | $3,863 | +$463 | +$444 | |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | No | 4,454 | 79.1¢ | 81¢ | $3,608 | +$85 | +$125 | |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 5 and October 11, 2026? | No | 3,482 | 95.2¢ | 94.1¢ | $3,274 | −$41 | $0 | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | No | 5,377 | 63.7¢ | 60.5¢ | $3,253 | −$172 | +$463 | |
| Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 2,967 | 98.1¢ | 97.8¢ | $2,901 | −$9.42 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 3,419 | 61.8¢ | 84.4¢ | $2,884 | +$771 | $0 | |
| Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 2,948 | 95.4¢ | 94.2¢ | $2,777 | −$36 | $0 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | No | 2,721 | 90¢ | 98.5¢ | $2,680 | +$231 | +$153 | |
| Will Mark Carney win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 2,402 | 96.9¢ | 99.2¢ | $2,381 | +$54 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | No | 2,839 | 76.8¢ | 79.5¢ | $2,257 | +$76 | $0 | |
| Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 2,305 | 95.4¢ | 94.8¢ | $2,185 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,243 | 77¢ | 97.2¢ | $2,179 | +$452 | $0 | |
| Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? | No | 2,015 | 82.1¢ | 93.7¢ | $1,887 | +$233 | $0 | |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | No | 1,846 | 79.8¢ | 92.5¢ | $1,708 | +$235 | $0 | |
| Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 2,029 | 82.7¢ | 83.1¢ | $1,685 | +$7.26 | +$65 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | No | 1,650 | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | $1,649 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,984 | 79.3¢ | 81.5¢ | $1,617 | +$44 | $0 | |
| Will Vitinha finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 1,630 | 95.3¢ | 96.2¢ | $1,567 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026? | No | 1,558 | 96.3¢ | 99.6¢ | $1,551 | +$51 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October? | No | 1,399 | 99¢ | 99.3¢ | $1,390 | +$4.20 | $0 | |
| Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 150 and 179 Minecraft deaths during the marathon? | No | 1,722 | 91.5¢ | 80.6¢ | $1,387 | −$189 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? | No | 1,434 | 79.3¢ | 94¢ | $1,348 | +$211 | $0 | |
| Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 180 and 209 Minecraft deaths during the marathon? | No | 1,289 | 94.1¢ | 95.6¢ | $1,232 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026? | No | 1,157 | 87.8¢ | 95.5¢ | $1,105 | +$89 | +$1.38 | |
| Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 210 and 239 Minecraft deaths during the marathon? | No | 1,116 | 93.7¢ | 96.4¢ | $1,076 | +$30 | $0 | |
| Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 1,159 | 85.4¢ | 92.4¢ | $1,071 | +$81 | +$8.65 | |
| Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 13? | Yes | 1,050 | 92¢ | 95.7¢ | $1,005 | +$39 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 899 | 98¢ | 98.9¢ | $889 | +$8.00 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 877 | 98.2¢ | 98.7¢ | $865 | +$3.96 | +$171 | |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 11.4k | 7¢ | 7.5¢ | $857 | +$57 | $0 | |
| Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? | No | 862 | 94.2¢ | 99.3¢ | $856 | +$44 | $0 | |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 900 | 67¢ | 95¢ | $855 | +$252 | $0 | |
| Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 836 | 94.1¢ | 97.4¢ | $814 | +$27 | $0 | |
| Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? | No | 1,138 | 62¢ | 67.5¢ | $768 | +$63 | $0 | |
| Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by October 31? | No | 776 | 93.4¢ | 98.7¢ | $765 | +$41 | $0 | |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026? | No | 795 | 91.6¢ | 95.7¢ | $760 | +$32 | $0 | |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 826 | 83.8¢ | 90¢ | $743 | +$52 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | No | 13.0k | 15.4¢ | 5¢ | $650 | −$1,358 | +$1,585 | |
| Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have 300 or more Minecraft deaths during the marathon? | No | 650 | 93.5¢ | 98¢ | $637 | +$29 | $0 | |
| Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? | Yes | 804 | 67.6¢ | 78.5¢ | $631 | +$87 | +$28 | |
| Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 11? | Yes | 733 | 84¢ | 84.5¢ | $619 | +$3.77 | $0 | |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 640 | 92¢ | 94.5¢ | $605 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026? | No | 689 | 87.1¢ | 84.5¢ | $582 | −$18 | −$4.80 | |
| Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 594 | 98.9¢ | 97.7¢ | $580 | −$7.64 | $0 | |
| Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026? | Yes | 620 | 96.5¢ | 90.1¢ | $559 | −$40 | +$6.36 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 719 | 83.9¢ | 71.3¢ | $512 | −$91 | −$139 | |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | No | 2,303 | 59.7¢ | 20.5¢ | $472 | −$903 | $0 | |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 613 | 84¢ | 75¢ | $460 | −$55 | +$7.55 | |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 462 | 99¢ | 98.5¢ | $455 | −$2.31 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 9, 2026? | No | 498 | 91.2¢ | 89.5¢ | $446 | −$8.38 | $0 | |
| Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 120 and 149 Minecraft deaths during the marathon? | No | 900 | 85.4¢ | 44.5¢ | $401 | −$369 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 526 | 78¢ | 69¢ | $363 | −$47 | $0 | |
| Will Islam Makhachev retire from the UFC by the end of 2027? | No | 439 | 76.5¢ | 77.5¢ | $340 | +$4.45 | $0 | |
| Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | No | 309 | 71¢ | 92.5¢ | $286 | +$66 | $0 | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 312 | 85¢ | 86¢ | $268 | +$3.12 | +$841 | |
| Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31? | Yes | 515 | 55.2¢ | 50¢ | $257 | −$27 | +$4.75 | |
| Will Jynxzi reach Gold rank in League of Legends by October 9, 2026? | No | 251 | 92.5¢ | 98.8¢ | $248 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Hurupay FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 184 | 96.4¢ | 97.3¢ | $179 | +$1.59 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026? | No | 245 | 81.8¢ | 71¢ | $174 | −$26 | −$72 | |
| Will Pernille Harder finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? | No | 205 | 59¢ | 78.5¢ | $161 | +$40 | $0 | |
| Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? | No | 167 | 71¢ | 88.5¢ | $148 | +$29 | $0 | |
| Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? | No | 284 | 53.4¢ | 51.5¢ | $146 | −$5.48 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | No | 234 | 58¢ | 59.5¢ | $139 | +$3.51 | $0 | |
| Will Drake release a new album by October 31? | No | 131 | 91¢ | 98¢ | $128 | +$9.17 | $0 | |
| Will Esmee Brugts finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? | No | 137 | 91.7¢ | 91¢ | $124 | −$0.97 | $0 | |
| Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 240 and 269 Minecraft deaths during the marathon? | No | 124 | 99.2¢ | 98.5¢ | $122 | −$0.87 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 162 | 68¢ | 69¢ | $112 | +$1.62 | $0 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026 | No | 121 | 94¢ | 91.9¢ | $111 | −$2.54 | $0 | |
