sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,305

dips.

0xc78…4ef2
Sport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$42.1kvol $13.7M
PnL 30d−$231kgains $20.7k · losses $26.7k
PnL 7d−$18.1kwin rate 7d 51.1%
Win rate51.1%adj 51.1% · 30d 51.1%
Open value$27.1kcash n/a
Positions348 / 24,379open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 1m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$18.4kbelow peak −$21.9kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

32/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 51.1% · shrunk toward 50%28
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
T20 World Cup Asia Sub-Regional Qualifier A: Bahrain vs KuwaitBahrain2,78731.1¢100¢$2,785+$1,919+$149
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?No5,54644¢45.5¢$2,523+$81$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes15.9k11.3¢13.5¢$2,145+$348$0
M25 Luan: Dong Ju Kim vs Yan Cheng CHENYan Cheng CHEN1,23520.6¢99.6¢$1,230+$975$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes5,43820.6¢22.5¢$1,224+$102−$1.63
Suzhou: Katarina Zavatska vs Renata ZarazuaRenata Zarazua1,21291¢93.6¢$1,134+$32−$0.16
Will Harry Shum Jr. be eliminated in week 5 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?No1,06896.4¢98.9¢$1,056+$27$0
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No1,16687¢86.5¢$1,009−$5.83$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No6,25834.9¢15.5¢$970−$1,213+$270
Kings vs. LakersLakers93094.8¢100¢$929+$48−$421
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes93573.9¢72.5¢$678−$13$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No5,5608¢9.5¢$528+$83$0
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes15.3k2.7¢3.2¢$483+$70$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes5,6298¢8.5¢$478+$28$0
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)Kings46587.1¢99.6¢$463+$58−$61
Will Croatia win on 2026-10-09?Yes6,0156.5¢7.5¢$451+$60−$0.45
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?Yes10.9k4¢3.9¢$426−$12$0
Hanshin Tigers vs. Hiroshima CarpHanshin Tigers38135¢97.6¢$372+$238$0
Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5Over1,7251.2¢21.2¢$366+$344+$138
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 17?Yes33040.6¢95.3¢$314+$180+$11
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)Kings31452.3¢98.6¢$310+$145−$2.78
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes31792¢91.5¢$290−$1.58$0
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Yes1,70713.1¢15.8¢$270+$46$0
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes50744¢45.5¢$231+$7.61$0
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Kings22032.5¢99.2¢$218+$147$0
Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals?No24278.7¢89.5¢$216+$26−$28
Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?Yes22096.5¢96.8¢$213+$0.55$0
Will Amber Glenn be eliminated in week 5 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?No20396¢98.1¢$199+$4.26$0
Will Jenna Dewan be eliminated in week 5 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?No20098¢99.5¢$199+$2.90$0
Will Connor Wood be eliminated in week 5 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?No20584.2¢94¢$193+$20$0
Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals?No20286.7¢93.7¢$189+$14$0
W35 Wagga Wagga: I Wen Wan vs Tahlia KokkinisI Wen Wan17334.8¢99.5¢$172+$112$0
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 17?No16150.8¢98.5¢$159+$77+$17
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT WizLotte Giants20550.8¢75.1¢$154+$50$0
Will CF América win on 2026-09-05?Yes20460¢75¢$153+$31$0
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Kia TigersKT Wiz28187¢50¢$141−$104−$17
Osleys Iglesias vs. Oliver ZarenOsleys Iglesias14096¢100¢$140+$5.53$0
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. LG TwinsLG Twins2711.8¢49.6¢$134+$129+$22
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?No15085.7¢86.5¢$130+$1.15$0
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-09-05?No16380.2¢71¢$116−$15$0
Will New York Liberty advance to the Finals in the 2026 WNBA Playoffs?No12652.2¢85¢$107+$41$0
Will the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win the 2026 Japan Series?No17652.6¢59.5¢$105+$12$0
Will Atlanta Dream advance to the Finals in the 2026 WNBA Playoffs?Yes12149.9¢86¢$104+$44$0
Will G2 Esports win VALORANT Champions 2026?No13071.2¢75.9¢$99+$6.13$0
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-05?No19340.9¢50.5¢$97+$18$0
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Hanwha EaglesKiwoom Heroes17495¢55.8¢$97−$68$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?No10886¢87.5¢$95+$1.62$0
Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Over1,0371.2¢9.1¢$94+$82−$1.24
W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq: Elise Renard vs Amelie BrooksElise Renard8993.9¢99.5¢$89+$5.01$0
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. LG TwinsKia Tigers17257.7¢50.4¢$87−$12+$3.22
T20 World Cup Asia Sub-Regional Qualifier B: China vs Hong KongChina1,5467¢5.5¢$85−$24$0
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT WizKT Wiz32268.6¢25¢$80−$140$0
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan BearsDoosan Bears15961¢49.9¢$79−$18$0
KBO: SSG Landers vs. NC DinosNC Dinos15768¢50.3¢$79−$28−$5.54
Will Iceland win on 2026-10-09?No44316.2¢17.5¢$78+$5.55−$1.70
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?Yes25129.6¢30.5¢$77+$2.16$0
FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5Under15073.6¢49.5¢$74−$36$0
Will Greece win on 2026-10-09?Yes3,8832.2¢1.9¢$74−$10$0
Will Afghanistan win?No9970¢74.5¢$74+$4.46$0
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes18221.1¢39.7¢$72+$34+$21
Will Bangladesh win?Yes11563¢62.5¢$72−$0.57$0
W15 Maanshan: Daria Egorova vs Yiru ChenDaria Egorova7092.5¢100¢$70+$5.22$0
Will Hwaseong FC win on 2026-10-09?No8394¢82.5¢$68−$9.54$0
Will Croatia vs. Iceland end in a draw?No7193¢91.5¢$65−$1.06$0
Australia A Tour of India Unofficial ODIs: India A vs Australia AIndia A12657.7¢51.5¢$65−$7.79$0
Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan T20s: Pakistan vs Sri LankaSri Lanka20534¢31.5¢$65−$5.13$0
Will CF América vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?No7980.5¢71.5¢$56−$7.10$0
Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?Yes18930.8¢29¢$55−$3.48$0
Will "Below: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?No6056.3¢84.5¢$51+$17$0
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?No9172¢55.5¢$51−$15$0
Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hiroshima CarpHiroshima Carp5094¢99.7¢$50+$2.85$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes5028¢9.5¢$48+$7.53$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,1152.5¢2.3¢$48−$5.23$0
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?No21517¢21.5¢$46+$9.68$0
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?No6375.4¢73¢$46−$1.53$0
Kieron Conway vs. Mark JeffersMark Jeffers5599¢80.1¢$44−$10$0
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?No5859.8¢70¢$41+$5.91$0
Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5Over3042.2¢12.5¢$38+$31+$14
W50 Burgas: Oana Georgeta Simion vs Sonja ZhenikhovaSonja Zhenikhova3786¢99.4¢$37+$5.00$0
Hanshin Tigers vs. Hiroshima CarpHanshin Tigers3775¢98¢$36+$8.51$0
Will Team Vitality win VALORANT Champions 2026?No4085.5¢84.5¢$34−$0.43$0
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-10-09?No4963¢67.5¢$33+$2.21$0
Bangladesh Women Tour of Australia ODIs: Australia Women vs Bangladesh WomenBangladesh Women8,2150.9¢0.4¢$33−$38$0
Will Jackson Olson be eliminated in week 5 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?Yes11325¢28.5¢$32+$3.96+$108
Will Chicago White Sox advance to the ALCS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?No5835.2¢54.5¢$32+$11$0
Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5Over2138.1¢14.2¢$30+$13−$1.33
Wilkens Mathieu vs. Vladimir ShishkinWilkens Mathieu3069¢99.5¢$30+$9.15$0
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. LG TwinsLG Twins11250¢25.1¢$28−$28−$0.65
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Yes12319¢22.5¢$28+$4.27$0
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-10-09?Yes7392.8¢3.6¢$26+$5.65$0
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes2,0831.2¢1.3¢$26+$0.91$0
Will CDPJuniorFC vs. Deportivo Pereira end in a draw?No3381¢75.5¢$25−$1.81$0
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Yes2874.7¢85.5¢$24+$2.99−$7.44
Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?Yes6526.3¢35.5¢$23+$5.97$0
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-09?Yes4357¢52.5¢$23−$1.93$0
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Yes9316.3¢23.8¢$22+$7.00$0
Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?Yes4760¢45.5¢$21−$6.82$0
Will "Doing Life" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No2959¢72.5¢$21+$3.92$0
Jose Luis Russell Regalado vs. Rene Calixto BibianoRene Calixto Bibiano3543¢50¢$18+$2.45$0
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia TigersSSG Landers7430¢23.5¢$17−$4.81$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY Andrea Lola PopovicW15 Sharm ElSheikh: Andrea Lola Popovic vs Anna Snigireva28¢27$7.5651%32
BUY Andrea Lola PopovicW15 Sharm ElSheikh: Andrea Lola Popovic vs Anna Snigireva21¢28$5.9751%32
BUY YesWill Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?31¢200$6251%32
BUY YesWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?32¢28$8.9651%32
SELL Brandon NakashimaShanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Brandon Nakashima83¢45$3751%32
BUY Brandon NakashimaShanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Brandon Nakashima85¢45$3851%32
BUY NoWill South Africa win?57¢98$5651%32
BUY SingaporeT20 World Cup Asia Sub-Regional Qualifier B: Maldives vs Singapore95¢156$14851%32
BUY SingaporeT20 World Cup Asia Sub-Regional Qualifier B: Maldives vs Singapore95.1¢10$9.5651%32
BUY Aliona FaleiSuzhou: Aliona Falei vs Rebecca Sramkova27¢96$2651%32
BUY YesWill Afghanistan win?5¢182$9.0951%32
BUY Arneodo/GonzalezShanghai Rolex Masters (Doubles): Harrison/Skupski vs Arneodo/Gonzalez1¢120$1.2051%32
BUY Arneodo/GonzalezShanghai Rolex Masters (Doubles): Harrison/Skupski vs Arneodo/Gonzalez1¢112$1.1251%32
BUY OverIncheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 0.585¢51$4351%32
BUY YesWill Afghanistan win?5¢32$1.5951%32
BUY YesWill Afghanistan win?7¢180$1351%32
BUY YesWill Afghanistan win?7¢77$5.3851%32
BUY YesWill Afghanistan win?7¢156$1151%32
BUY YesWill Croatia win on 2026-10-09?8¢25$1.9851%32
BUY SingaporeT20 World Cup Asia Sub-Regional Qualifier B: Maldives vs Singapore95.7¢40$3951%32