| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 6,000 | 69.6¢ | 77.5¢ | $4,650 | +$473 | +$186 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 5,714 | 82.5¢ | 80.5¢ | $4,600 | −$113 | −$305 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 5,000 | 65¢ | 83.5¢ | $4,175 | +$923 | +$2,285 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 3,000 | 65.3¢ | 88.5¢ | $2,655 | +$697 | +$33 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 3,000 | 44¢ | 85.7¢ | $2,570 | +$1,250 | +$285 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028? | No | 3,002 | 76.9¢ | 77.5¢ | $2,326 | +$18 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? | Yes | 2,000 | 96.7¢ | 98.8¢ | $1,976 | +$41 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 3,000 | 45.3¢ | 63.5¢ | $1,905 | +$545 | +$40 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 3,000 | 8.4¢ | 62.5¢ | $1,875 | +$1,624 | +$1,184 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 2,000 | 84¢ | 91¢ | $1,820 | +$140 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 2,000 | 50¢ | 90.5¢ | $1,810 | +$810 | $0 | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,000 | 87.1¢ | 85.5¢ | $1,710 | −$32 | +$96 | |
| Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? | Yes | 2,000 | 50.4¢ | 68.5¢ | $1,370 | +$362 | $0 | |
| Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31? | No | 1,750 | 66¢ | 68.5¢ | $1,199 | +$43 | −$6.50 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 2,000 | 48.7¢ | 57.9¢ | $1,157 | +$184 | +$313 | |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 1,250 | 88.2¢ | 91.5¢ | $1,144 | +$41 | $0 | |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 1,500 | 71¢ | 71.5¢ | $1,073 | +$7.50 | $0 | |
| Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? | No | 1,300 | 73.1¢ | 80¢ | $1,040 | +$90 | −$0.06 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? | Yes | 1,000 | 98.5¢ | 98.8¢ | $988 | +$2.85 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? | No | 1,000 | 60.3¢ | 98.3¢ | $983 | +$379 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 1,000 | 91¢ | 98.2¢ | $982 | +$72 | −$210 | |
| Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? | Yes | 1,000 | 93.4¢ | 98.1¢ | $981 | +$47 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | No | 1,001 | 42.1¢ | 97.4¢ | $975 | +$553 | +$8.91 | |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 1,000 | 94.8¢ | 97.4¢ | $974 | +$26 | +$87 | |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 82¢ | 96.6¢ | $966 | +$146 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1,000 | 71.8¢ | 94.5¢ | $945 | +$227 | +$443 | |
| New pandemic in 2026? | No | 1,000 | 93¢ | 94.5¢ | $945 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 1,000 | 92¢ | 94¢ | $940 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1,500 | 41.7¢ | 62.5¢ | $938 | +$312 | −$27 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | Yes | 1,000 | 87¢ | 92.5¢ | $925 | +$55 | −$614 | |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 70.8¢ | 92.5¢ | $925 | +$216 | −$34 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 1,000 | 91¢ | 90.5¢ | $905 | −$4.57 | $0 | |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | No | 1,000 | 69.6¢ | 89.5¢ | $895 | +$199 | +$1.81 | |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | Yes | 1,000 | 85.3¢ | 88.5¢ | $885 | +$32 | $0 | |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | No | 1,000 | 77¢ | 88.5¢ | $885 | +$115 | $0 | |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | No | 1,000 | 75¢ | 88.5¢ | $885 | +$135 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | No | 1,500 | 53¢ | 58.5¢ | $878 | +$83 | −$241 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 62.6¢ | 83.5¢ | $835 | +$209 | $0 | |
| Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? | Yes | 1,000 | 86¢ | 83.5¢ | $835 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 2,000 | 37.1¢ | 41.3¢ | $825 | +$82 | $0 | |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 1,000 | 45.5¢ | 82¢ | $820 | +$365 | +$2.17 | |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 1,000 | 77.8¢ | 81¢ | $810 | +$32 | +$3.88 | |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 2,000 | 38¢ | 40¢ | $800 | +$40 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 80¢ | 79.5¢ | $795 | −$5.00 | −$209 | |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | No | 1,001 | 71¢ | 75¢ | $751 | +$40 | −$0.28 | |
| Natural Disaster in 2026? | No | 800 | 43.1¢ | 93.5¢ | $748 | +$403 | $0 | |
| Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 1,350 | 62.2¢ | 54.5¢ | $736 | −$105 | −$11 | |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | No | 1,000 | 63.8¢ | 73.5¢ | $735 | +$97 | −$0.49 | |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 750 | 89.8¢ | 96.2¢ | $721 | +$48 | −$6.82 | |
| Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? | Yes | 1,050 | 66.3¢ | 68.5¢ | $719 | +$23 | $0 | |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | No | 751 | 79.6¢ | 95.8¢ | $719 | +$121 | +$0.06 | |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | No | 750 | 72.9¢ | 95.5¢ | $716 | +$169 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 71¢ | 71.5¢ | $715 | +$5.00 | $0 | |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | No | 1,000 | 69.7¢ | 71.5¢ | $715 | +$18 | +$13 | |
| Greenland snap election called by December 31? | No | 750 | 89¢ | 95¢ | $712 | +$45 | $0 | |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? | No | 1,000 | 73.5¢ | 70.5¢ | $705 | −$30 | −$440 | |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | No | 750 | 74.7¢ | 90.5¢ | $679 | +$118 | $0 | |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | No | 750 | 77¢ | 88.5¢ | $664 | +$86 | $0 | |
| Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026? | No | 756 | 80.1¢ | 87.5¢ | $661 | +$56 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1,500 | 42.5¢ | 43.5¢ | $653 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 662 | 92¢ | 95.9¢ | $634 | +$25 | −$400 | |
| Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 750 | 80.5¢ | 83.5¢ | $626 | +$23 | +$4.75 | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | No | 1,000 | 68¢ | 60.5¢ | $605 | −$75 | $0 | |
| Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? | Yes | 1,000 | 58.5¢ | 58.5¢ | $585 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 750 | 72.4¢ | 77.5¢ | $581 | +$38 | $0 | |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 700 | 78.9¢ | 80.5¢ | $564 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026? | No | 750 | 56.2¢ | 71.5¢ | $536 | +$115 | −$8.16 | |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 1,000 | 26.3¢ | 53.1¢ | $531 | +$268 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race? | No | 750 | 68.8¢ | 70.5¢ | $529 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? | Yes | 750 | 10.1¢ | 69.5¢ | $521 | +$446 | $0 | |
| ECB rate cut in 2026? | No | 541 | 46.1¢ | 95.5¢ | $517 | +$267 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 750 | 62.8¢ | 68.5¢ | $514 | +$43 | $0 | |
| Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 921 | 51.7¢ | 54.5¢ | $502 | +$26 | $0 | |
| Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | No | 500 | 78¢ | 99.1¢ | $496 | +$106 | $0 | |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | No | 550 | 83.9¢ | 89.5¢ | $492 | +$31 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 51.1¢ | 48.6¢ | $486 | −$25 | −$63 | |
| Will Markus Söder be the next Chancellor of Germany? | No | 506 | 81.5¢ | 95.5¢ | $483 | +$71 | −$67 | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | No | 500 | 87.6¢ | 96.4¢ | $482 | +$44 | $0 | |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | No | 495 | 74¢ | 96.4¢ | $477 | +$111 | +$0.20 | |
| Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 500 | 86.4¢ | 94.7¢ | $473 | +$41 | $0 | |
| Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31? | No | 750 | 72.8¢ | 61.5¢ | $461 | −$85 | −$39 | |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 950 | 21.4¢ | 48.5¢ | $461 | +$258 | +$229 | |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | 80.5¢ | 91.5¢ | $458 | +$55 | −$2.00 | |
| Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 500 | 78¢ | 88.6¢ | $443 | +$53 | $0 | |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 500 | 86¢ | 86.5¢ | $433 | +$2.50 | +$132 | |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 2,000 | 26¢ | 21.5¢ | $430 | −$90 | $0 | |
| Will Trump praise Jon Rahm in September? | No | 463 | 81.3¢ | 92.5¢ | $428 | +$52 | $0 | |
| Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 500 | 71.6¢ | 85.5¢ | $428 | +$69 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | 81.6¢ | 82¢ | $410 | +$2.18 | $0 | |
| Will more than 550,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31? | Yes | 400 | 79.9¢ | 98.9¢ | $396 | +$76 | $0 | |
| Surigae makes landfall in Japan? | No | 400 | 85¢ | 97.7¢ | $391 | +$51 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 29¢ | 38.5¢ | $385 | +$95 | $0 | |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | No | 400 | 66¢ | 96¢ | $384 | +$120 | $0 | |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | 62.9¢ | 76.5¢ | $383 | +$68 | −$203 | |
| Denmark snap election called by December 31? | No | 383 | 90.2¢ | 98.7¢ | $378 | +$32 | +$9.82 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | No | 1,000 | 37.9¢ | 37.5¢ | $375 | −$4.05 | −$19 | |
| Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31? | No | 500 | 79¢ | 75¢ | $375 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of October? | Yes | 373 | 88¢ | 98.9¢ | $369 | +$41 | $0 | |
| Will Tommy Paul Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings | No | 400 | 69.3¢ | 92.2¢ | $369 | +$91 | $0 | |
| Will Jakub Mensik Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings | No | 400 | 64.8¢ | 90¢ | $360 | +$101 | $0 | |
