sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #71

qmarktea2

0xed1…d2e5
SharpWhalePnL 1M+PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSportOtherCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$2.12Mvol $297M
PnL 30d+$72.8kgains $153k · losses $57.6k
PnL 7d+$7,545win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate90.5%adj 89.0% · 30d 85.7%
Open value$7.65Mcash n/a
Positions83 / 2,163open / all-time
Max drawdown−5.5%of equity peak
Account age3.4ylast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2.19Mbelow peak −$5,240Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

88/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale90
Adjusted win rateraw 90.5% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d92
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity95

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 83

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No6.00M50¢80.2¢$4.81M+$1.81M$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes6.00M50¢19.9¢$1.19M−$1.81M$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No338k92.5¢95.5¢$323k+$10.3k+$4,921
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No199k88.5¢97.8¢$195k+$18.4k+$1,507
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No183k96¢97.2¢$178k+$2,200+$558
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes178k96.3¢98.4¢$175k+$3,596$0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No131k96.7¢96.6¢$127k−$257$0
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No123k91.4¢97.4¢$120k+$7,367$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?No100k99¢99.2¢$99.2k+$150$0
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No74.5k96.3¢97.1¢$72.3k+$570$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No44.7k97¢97.7¢$43.6k+$293$0
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No42.1k90.6¢97.1¢$40.9k+$2,720+$8.95
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No34.7k87.7¢93.5¢$32.4k+$2,014$0
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No25.8k98.9¢100¢$25.8k+$265$0
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?No22.1k89.7¢98¢$21.7k+$1,834+$995
GTA VI released by October 31?No21.5k98.3¢99.6¢$21.4k+$263$0
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No24.5k88.9¢85.5¢$21.0k−$848+$2,443
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?No17.1k56.4¢90.5¢$15.5k+$5,827+$179
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No14.1k92.5¢95.5¢$13.5k+$421+$689
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?No12.2k90.4¢97.9¢$11.9k+$910+$347
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?No12.3k94.3¢96.4¢$11.9k+$254$0
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No12.1k85.6¢90¢$10.9k+$535$0
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No10.6k98.3¢98.4¢$10.4k+$10$0
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?No9,09093.5¢96.6¢$8,776+$278+$269
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No9,00091.7¢96.6¢$8,694+$444$0
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?No8,41091.9¢96.8¢$8,141+$414$0
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?No5,98697.2¢99.1¢$5,933+$116$0
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes6,11889.5¢91¢$5,567+$94$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?No5,59692¢97.3¢$5,445+$297$0
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No5,00084.6¢92.5¢$4,625+$395+$81
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?No4,01685.5¢97.5¢$3,914+$478$0
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?No3,79391.5¢97.7¢$3,704+$234$0
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?No3,50093.9¢95.6¢$3,344+$58$0
Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?No3,15887.8¢93¢$2,937+$165+$38
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?No3,02892.9¢96¢$2,907+$93$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes15.0k49.5¢18.5¢$2,775−$4,650$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?No2,50593¢96.8¢$2,423+$94$0
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No2,31193.2¢97¢$2,242+$87$0
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No2,09586.2¢97.5¢$2,041+$237$0
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?No2,00090.3¢97.7¢$1,953+$146+$58
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No2,00092.5¢97¢$1,939+$89$0
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?No1,97890.1¢97.4¢$1,926+$144$0
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?No2,04786.6¢94¢$1,923+$151$0
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?No1,97194¢97.3¢$1,916+$63+$7.77
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?No1,87594.7¢96.5¢$1,809+$33$0
Will Trump resign before 2027?No1,83796.8¢97.5¢$1,791+$13$0
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026?No1,80991.8¢97.3¢$1,760+$98$0
Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?No1,76393.9¢97.7¢$1,722+$67$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes1,75987.7¢93.5¢$1,645+$102+$288
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No1,65495¢97.2¢$1,608+$36$0
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?No1,58994.1¢95.8¢$1,522+$27$0
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?No1,51896¢97.4¢$1,478+$20$0
Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes1,50090.5¢94.1¢$1,412+$53$0
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes3,12360¢45¢$1,405−$470$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?No1,22574.8¢95.9¢$1,174+$258$0
Waymo IPO before 2027?No1,07180.2¢98.3¢$1,052+$193$0
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No1,02496.7¢97.7¢$1,000+$10$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No1,00279.8¢97.6¢$977+$177$0
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?No1,06291.8¢88.5¢$940−$35$0
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?No1,00079.4¢89¢$890+$96$0
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?No75493.8¢97.5¢$735+$28$0
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No74784.9¢91.5¢$684+$49$0
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?No68995.7¢97¢$669+$8.70$0
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No66896¢98.9¢$660+$19$0
Will QFEX launch a token by December 31, 2026?No63893.1¢97.3¢$620+$26$0
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes1,17562.5¢44.5¢$523−$211$0
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes2,47743.8¢20.5¢$508−$576$0
Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31?No47995¢98.9¢$473+$18$0
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?No47681.7¢92.5¢$440+$51$0
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?No45294.2¢96.3¢$435+$9.29$0
Record crypto liquidation in 2026?No30790¢93.3¢$287+$10$0
Obama arrested before 2027?No20393¢97.9¢$198+$9.84$0
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?No17381.9¢97.9¢$170+$28$0
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?No17891.5¢95¢$169+$6.23$0
Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027?No12394¢96.2¢$118+$2.70$0
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by November 30?No10495¢97.5¢$101+$2.60$0
Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?No9178.9¢89.5¢$82+$9.68$0
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No7390¢92.5¢$68+$1.84+$354
Will Trump pardon Andrew Tate before 2027?No3992¢96.8¢$38+$1.87$0
Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?No1996¢97¢$18+$0.19$0
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No1893¢95.5¢$17+$0.44$0
UFC 332: Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Main Card)Ateba Gautier7,50068¢0¢$0−$5,100$0
UFC 332: Alden Coria vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Prelims)Alden Coria5,00043¢0¢$0−$2,150$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?97¢1,008$97791%88Sharp
BUY NoWill Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? 89.7¢4,006$3,59391%88Sharp
BUY YesWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?98¢38.6k$37.8k91%88WhaleSharp
SELL NoWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?92¢16.2k$14.9k91%88WhaleSharp
BUY Eric NolanUFC 332: Court McGee vs. Eric Nolan (Welterweight, Early Prelims)68¢7,495$5,09691%88Sharp
BUY Jacobe SmithUFC 332: Jacobe Smith vs. Bruce Whitehead (Welterweight, Early Prelims)90¢2,079$1,87191%88Sharp
BUY Johnny WalkerUFC 332: Johnny Walker vs. Mick Parkin (Heavyweight, Early Prelims)51¢2,631$1,34291%88Sharp
BUY NoWill Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? 78.8¢1,340$1,05691%88Sharp
BUY NoWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?97.2¢10.9k$10.6k91%88WhaleSharp
BUY NoWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?97.3¢9,791$9,52691%88Sharp
BUY NoKanye West performs in Russia by October 31?98.4¢597$58791%88Sharp
BUY NoSupreme Court vacancy in 2026?91.8¢1,062$97591%88Sharp
BUY NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?99¢100k$99.0k91%88WhaleSharp
BUY NoKanye West performs in Russia by October 31?98.3¢7,459$7,33291%88Sharp
BUY NoWill Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?99.5¢1,997$1,98791%88Sharp
BUY NoXi Jinping out before 2027?97¢51.3k$49.7k91%88WhaleSharp
BUY NoWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?96.9¢3,840$3,72191%88Sharp
BUY NoUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?99.9¢5,286$5,28191%88Sharp
BUY NoTaylor Swift pregnant by September 30?99.9¢20$2091%88Sharp
BUY NoWill Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?90¢27$2591%88Sharp