sharpside
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0x21f…5e2a
SportOtherCryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$15.9kvol $5.73M
PnL 30d−$2,292gains $2,833 · losses $2,500
PnL 7d−$722win rate 7d 69.2%
Win rate60.0%adj 59.6% · 30d 57.4%
Open value$8,231cash n/a
Positions631 / 1,131open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$9,424below peak −$38.2kOct 12

SharpScore inputs

36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 60.0% · shrunk toward 50%49
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?No89281.3¢97.3¢$868+$143+$125
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?No90089.9¢92.9¢$836+$27$0
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?No88373.3¢89.5¢$790+$143+$12
MagicBlock FDV above $60M one day after launch?No52673.1¢77¢$405+$21$0
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?No1,12336.7¢29.5¢$331−$81+$17
MagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch?No44666.4¢73.5¢$328+$31+$2.96
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No1,09931.4¢28.6¢$314−$31$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseNo33771¢71.5¢$241+$1.80+$0.87
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?No28280.8¢82.5¢$233+$4.93$0
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?No37363.6¢62¢$231−$5.90$0
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes75747.6¢28.7¢$217−$143−$0.29
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?No40861.5¢51.5¢$210−$41−$5.07
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?No22080.5¢83.5¢$184+$6.50$0
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?No23371.5¢76.5¢$178+$12+$0.74
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes21531¢82.5¢$177+$111+$250
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?No20276.2¢81.5¢$165+$11+$0.39
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?No1,20618.7¢13.5¢$163−$63−$20
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?No23542.9¢67.5¢$159+$58$0
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?No14894¢97.7¢$145+$5.40$0
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?No14290.7¢91.5¢$130+$1.14$0
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?No15676.3¢72.5¢$113−$5.91+$0.27
Will Las Vegas Raiders win the 2026 AFC West?No11091.6¢92.5¢$102+$0.91−$3.30
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?No46550.6¢21.5¢$100−$136−$1.28
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?Yes33351¢29.5¢$98−$72−$1.21
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes15046¢65.6¢$98+$29+$88
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes78935.4¢12¢$95−$184−$6.85
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?No8672.7¢96.8¢$83+$21$0
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026No8783.9¢81.5¢$71−$2.08+$1.34
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes2,6532.1¢2.7¢$70+$15−$5.04
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No20360.1¢30¢$61−$61$0
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?No5865.2¢88.5¢$51+$14+$364
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?No13328.7¢38.5¢$51+$13$0
MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch?No6656¢69.4¢$46+$8.82+$21
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,7354.3¢2.5¢$43−$31$0
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October?Yes11837¢35.5¢$42−$1.77$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No4080¢93.8¢$38+$5.57−$19
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?No6623¢53.5¢$35+$20$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No26244¢13.1¢$34−$81+$0.40
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?Yes9835¢34.5¢$34−$0.49$0
Will Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?Yes1,8102.2¢1.9¢$33−$6.15−$3.34
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes14325¢22.5¢$32−$3.52+$8.77
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?No3371¢86.5¢$29+$5.12$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,0544.7¢2.4¢$25−$24−$26
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes13424.1¢18¢$24−$8.21$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?Yes9827¢24.5¢$24−$2.45$0
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?Yes12941.1¢18¢$23−$30$0
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?Yes13919¢16.5¢$23−$3.47$0
Stripe IPO before 2027?No2293.3¢97¢$21+$0.80+$0.67
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes779.6¢26.5¢$20+$13+$49
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?No2291¢92¢$20+$0.22$0
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No2182¢86.5¢$18+$0.94−$6.19
StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?No2074¢84¢$17+$2.00−$1.62
MagicBlock FDV above $40M one day after launch?No2173.7¢75.5¢$16+$0.37+$4.72
Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2026?No1788¢92.5¢$16+$0.76+$19
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026?No1692¢96¢$15+$0.63$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?No1861¢83¢$15+$3.96$0
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?No16024.3¢8.5¢$14−$25$0
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?Yes5002.3¢2.7¢$13+$1.75$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?No1966.2¢69.5¢$13+$0.63+$0.96
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?No1777¢77.5¢$13+$0.09$0
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?No1770¢70.5¢$12+$0.09+$8.68
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?No1286.9¢96.7¢$12+$1.17+$242
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026?No1284¢89¢$11+$0.60+$6.89
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?Yes1662.6¢61.5¢$9.84−$0.18$0
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?No1089.5¢93.5¢$9.35+$0.40+$5.89
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?No1443¢64¢$8.96+$2.94$0
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?No969.1¢97.8¢$8.80+$2.58+$173
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No4925¢17.5¢$8.57−$3.67$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes6550¢12.5¢$8.13−$24−$158
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Yes9815.2¢8¢$7.84−$7.05$0
Huddle FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes933.9¢7.2¢$6.70+$3.06+$14
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?Yes972¢72.5¢$6.53+$0.04$0
Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2026 NFC West?No1475¢45¢$6.30−$4.20$0
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?Yes1934¢32.5¢$6.17−$0.28$0
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?No693.9¢98.2¢$5.89+$0.26+$3.71
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?No1253¢44.5¢$5.34−$1.02$0
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?No589.4¢94.8¢$4.74+$0.27+$1.32
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in October?Yes1926¢24¢$4.56−$0.38$0
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?No2046.5¢21.9¢$4.38−$4.92−$2.65
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No857¢53.5¢$4.28−$0.28$0
Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?Yes957¢45.5¢$4.09−$1.03$0
Will Bloomberg IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes1203.8¢3.4¢$4.02−$0.53$0
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes4413.2¢9¢$4.00−$1.85+$27
Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes824.5¢4.8¢$3.94+$0.26−$3.85
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B?Yes9611.2¢4.1¢$3.89−$6.83−$7.57
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?No1040¢38.5¢$3.85−$0.15$0
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?No487.5¢96.9¢$3.84+$0.37+$3.87
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes9011.2¢3.9¢$3.51−$6.55$0
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?No488.7¢90¢$3.33+$0.05−$7.21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?No666¢54.5¢$3.27−$0.69$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?No937¢35.5¢$3.19−$0.13$0
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?No359.1¢93.5¢$2.80+$1.03+$73
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?No385.1¢92.5¢$2.77+$0.22+$16
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes1920¢13.5¢$2.56−$1.24+$3.05
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?Yes771.6¢34.5¢$2.42−$2.60−$28
Will Solana reach $140 in October?Yes409.5¢6¢$2.40−$1.39$0
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?$1,000832.2¢28.5¢$2.28−$0.30−$3.32
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No914¢24.5¢$2.21+$0.94$0
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No627.7¢35.5¢$2.13+$0.47−$1.18
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes2337.2¢7.8¢$1.79−$6.76+$0.23

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?70¢17$1260%36
SELL NoWill Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?96.1¢20$1960%36
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?2.3¢500$1260%36
BUY YesWill Solana reach $140 in October?9¢21$1.8960%36
SELL NoWill GitLab be acquired before 2027?94.6¢5$4.7360%36
BUY YesWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in October?26¢19$4.9460%36
SELL NoWill 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?66¢26$1760%36
BUY YesWill the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?72¢9$6.4860%36
SELL NoWill Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?96.1¢140$13560%36
SELL NoWill Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?96.1¢80$7760%36
SELL NoWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?96.4¢5$4.8260%36
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?66¢6$3.9660%36
SELL NoWill PayPal be acquired before 2027?88.4¢412$36460%36
SELL NoWill PayPal be acquired before 2027?88.2¢83$7360%36
BUY NoWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?64¢117$7560%36
BUY YesWill Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?62¢6$3.7260%36
SELL NoWill Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?93¢27$2560%36
BUY YesWill Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October?37¢98$3660%36
SELL NoWill Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?42¢6$2.5260%36
SELL NoWill Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?95.5¢108$10360%36