| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 490k | 50¢ | 51.6¢ | $253k | +$7,595 | $0 | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 490k | 50¢ | 48.4¢ | $237k | −$7,595 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 33.3k | 99.5¢ | 99.6¢ | $33.2k | +$17 | −$55 | |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | No | 27.0k | 82.1¢ | 95.5¢ | $25.8k | +$3,604 | −$1,665 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 29.8k | 83.8¢ | 85.7¢ | $25.6k | +$552 | −$15.9k | |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 22.1k | 94.4¢ | 96.5¢ | $21.3k | +$457 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 10.8k | 91¢ | 94.5¢ | $10.2k | +$377 | −$28.9k | |
| Plague pandemic in 2026? | No | 8,888 | 95.1¢ | 97.2¢ | $8,635 | +$182 | $0 | |
| New pandemic in 2026? | No | 7,777 | 87.6¢ | 94.5¢ | $7,349 | +$539 | −$422 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 71.2k | 10.7¢ | 9.5¢ | $6,767 | −$828 | +$35.6k | |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 6,716 | 96.3¢ | 98.2¢ | $6,595 | +$130 | −$27.2k | |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | No | 5,240 | 90¢ | 90.5¢ | $4,742 | +$26 | $0 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 4,120 | 93.2¢ | 97.7¢ | $4,023 | +$183 | −$1,907 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 5,555 | 71¢ | 63.5¢ | $3,527 | −$417 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3,986 | 44.6¢ | 84.5¢ | $3,368 | +$1,589 | +$2,914 | |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 3,362 | 95.8¢ | 96.9¢ | $3,256 | +$36 | −$857 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 23.3k | 14.1¢ | 13.5¢ | $3,144 | −$149 | +$23.2k | |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 4,689 | 51¢ | 47.8¢ | $2,239 | −$153 | +$2,351 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 26.0k | 8.5¢ | 8.5¢ | $2,213 | +$3.44 | +$1,026 | |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | Yes | 8,840 | 9¢ | 20.5¢ | $1,812 | +$1,017 | +$379 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 18.5k | 10.5¢ | 9.5¢ | $1,759 | −$188 | +$20.6k | |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 432k | 0.7¢ | 0.4¢ | $1,729 | −$1,467 | +$2,278 | |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,670 | 92¢ | 96¢ | $1,602 | +$66 | −$836 | |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 1,541 | 94.2¢ | 99¢ | $1,525 | +$73 | −$642 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 39.5k | 6¢ | 3.7¢ | $1,462 | −$899 | +$238 | |
| Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 1,424 | 89.5¢ | 96.2¢ | $1,369 | +$94 | $0 | |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 1,553 | 77.9¢ | 79.5¢ | $1,234 | +$25 | −$1,839 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | No | 1,111 | 98.7¢ | 99.2¢ | $1,102 | +$5.00 | −$2,533 | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 1,551 | 65¢ | 70.5¢ | $1,093 | +$85 | $0 | |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 1,131 | 75.9¢ | 91.5¢ | $1,035 | +$176 | $0 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 2,220 | 55.2¢ | 42.2¢ | $936 | −$290 | +$570 | |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 1,111 | 58¢ | 81¢ | $900 | +$256 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 967 | 70.5¢ | 88.5¢ | $856 | +$174 | +$513 | |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 843 | 81.5¢ | 97.2¢ | $820 | +$133 | −$1,260 | |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 859 | 70¢ | 92¢ | $791 | +$189 | −$587 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 13.9k | 6.9¢ | 5.1¢ | $704 | −$258 | +$1,947 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 1,111 | 60¢ | 62.5¢ | $694 | +$28 | −$111 | |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 4,444 | 6.5¢ | 15.1¢ | $669 | +$380 | $0 | |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 793 | 73.1¢ | 83.8¢ | $664 | +$84 | −$544 | |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | No | 724 | 54.6¢ | 91.5¢ | $662 | +$267 | $0 | |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 26.0k | 6.5¢ | 2.3¢ | $584 | −$1,095 | +$225 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 602 | 77¢ | 77.5¢ | $467 | +$3.01 | $0 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 3,494 | 27.3¢ | 12.7¢ | $444 | −$509 | −$231 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 436 | 98.9¢ | 99.9¢ | $436 | +$4.15 | $0 | |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 444 | 51¢ | 94.5¢ | $420 | +$193 | +$74 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6,309 | 34.6¢ | 6.5¢ | $410 | −$1,770 | +$908 | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 803 | 26.3¢ | 42.5¢ | $341 | +$130 | +$937 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 1,126 | 20¢ | 28.5¢ | $321 | +$96 | +$1,242 | |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 681 | 21.9¢ | 40.1¢ | $273 | +$124 | +$121 | |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 282 | 89¢ | 96¢ | $270 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 333 | 46.3¢ | 71.3¢ | $237 | +$83 | $0 | |
| Weed rescheduled by December 31? | Yes | 5,207 | 40.5¢ | 4.6¢ | $237 | −$1,871 | +$43 | |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 3,428 | 18.8¢ | 6¢ | $206 | −$440 | +$136 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 666 | 44.8¢ | 28.7¢ | $191 | −$107 | $0 | |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2,500 | 5.6¢ | 7.1¢ | $178 | +$38 | +$53 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 49.0k | 4.3¢ | 0.4¢ | $171 | −$1,955 | −$767 | |
| Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 111k | 0.1¢ | 0.2¢ | $167 | +$56 | $0 | |
| Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 62.5k | 0.3¢ | 0.3¢ | $156 | −$31 | $0 | |
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 93.7k | 0.3¢ | 0.2¢ | $141 | −$182 | $0 | |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 20.3k | 0.8¢ | 0.7¢ | $132 | −$37 | +$178 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 151 | 83¢ | 84.5¢ | $128 | +$2.27 | −$3,707 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 204 | 62¢ | 57.5¢ | $118 | −$9.20 | $0 | |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 555 | 11¢ | 20.5¢ | $114 | +$53 | +$1,595 | |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 31.8k | 1.2¢ | 0.4¢ | $111 | −$263 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 111 | 23¢ | 96.1¢ | $107 | +$81 | +$270 | |
| Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 2,162 | 2.8¢ | 2.9¢ | $63 | +$2.64 | $0 | |
| Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 10.1k | 0.4¢ | 0.5¢ | $46 | +$5.07 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,664 | 5.7¢ | 2.7¢ | $45 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | No | 115 | 56¢ | 33¢ | $38 | −$26 | $0 | |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | Yes | 268 | 13.7¢ | 13.5¢ | $36 | −$0.65 | +$191 | |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 7,116 | 0.9¢ | 0.5¢ | $32 | −$34 | +$49 | |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 641 | 26.3¢ | 4¢ | $25 | −$143 | +$1,614 | |
| Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 49.6k | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $25 | −$166 | $0 | |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 9,263 | 1.2¢ | 0.3¢ | $23 | −$88 | +$75 | |
| Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 5,125 | 1.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $23 | −$35 | $0 | |
| Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 2,162 | 2.8¢ | 1¢ | $21 | −$40 | $0 | |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 325 | 16¢ | 3.6¢ | $12 | −$40 | $0 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 20 | 38¢ | 57.9¢ | $12 | +$3.97 | +$596 | |
| Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 1,556 | 0.5¢ | 0.5¢ | $8.56 | +$0.78 | $0 | |
| Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 5,125 | 1.1¢ | 0.2¢ | $7.69 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 37 | 31¢ | 16.3¢ | $6.00 | −$5.45 | +$415 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: Other | Yes | 2,222 | 20¢ | 0.3¢ | $5.55 | −$439 | $0 | |
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 2,162 | 2.8¢ | 0.2¢ | $4.32 | −$56 | $0 | |
| Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 5,125 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.56 | −$55 | $0 | |
| Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 5,125 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.56 | −$55 | $0 | |
| Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 5,125 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.56 | −$55 | $0 | |
| Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 5,125 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.56 | −$55 | $0 | |
| Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 5,125 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.56 | −$55 | $0 | |
| Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 5,125 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.56 | −$55 | $0 | |
| Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 5,125 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.56 | −$55 | $0 | |
| Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 5,125 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $2.56 | −$55 | $0 | |
| Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 2,162 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.08 | −$59 | $0 | |
| Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 2,162 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.08 | −$59 | $0 | |
| Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 2,162 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.08 | −$59 | $0 | |
| Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 2,162 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.08 | −$59 | $0 | |
| Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 2,162 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.08 | −$59 | $0 | |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | Yes | 18 | 6¢ | 2.6¢ | $0.48 | −$0.63 | +$28 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 294 | 0.3¢ | 0.2¢ | $0.44 | −$0.44 | $0 | |
| Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | Yes | 23 | 44¢ | 1.8¢ | $0.41 | −$9.85 | $0 | |
| Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 9 | 0.5¢ | 1¢ | $0.09 | +$0.04 | $0 | |
