sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,160

Donny.T

0x819…b247
WhalePnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$26.5kvol $3.18M
PnL 30d+$4,364gains $17.8k · losses $4,316
PnL 7d+$2,487win rate 7d 65.4%
Win rate70.9%adj 70.1% · 30d 80.3%
Open value$156kcash n/a
Positions97 / 831open / all-time
Max drawdown−67.4%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$33.9kbelow peak $0Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

64/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale63
Adjusted win rateraw 70.9% · shrunk toward 50%75
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable97
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity33

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 97

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No49.6k89.9¢94¢$46.7k+$2,019+$1,564
New pandemic in 2026?No13.4k93.4¢94.5¢$12.6k+$150+$7.88
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes10.5k92.4¢96¢$10.1k+$380$0
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No10,00087.8¢94.5¢$9,450+$665$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes8,50088.4¢90.5¢$7,692+$174+$73
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No8,09087.6¢94.2¢$7,621+$538+$40
Modi out by December 31, 2026?No7,69791.2¢91.5¢$7,039+$22$0
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No6,58091.1¢94.5¢$6,218+$221−$0.62
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes5,32994.8¢98.4¢$5,241+$191+$1,153
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No5,50091¢90.5¢$4,977−$27+$64
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo5,01091.8¢91.5¢$4,584−$15$0
Yoon out of custody before 2027?No4,20491.1¢95¢$3,992+$162$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No4,05990.8¢95¢$3,856+$172+$23
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?No3,12294.1¢98.1¢$3,062+$122+$512
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?No2,87691.7¢95.4¢$2,742+$105$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No3,10082.6¢84.5¢$2,619+$60−$1,173
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?No2,60080.4¢93.5¢$2,431+$340+$17
Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?No2,36292.9¢93¢$2,196+$1.90$0
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No1,80085.9¢85.9¢$1,546+$0.45+$0.03
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Yes1,40084.9¢95.5¢$1,337+$149$0
Macron out by December 31, 2026?No1,12591.4¢95.1¢$1,070+$41+$182
Plague pandemic in 2026?No1,00094.2¢96.1¢$961+$19$0
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No91082.3¢97.6¢$888+$139−$3.00
Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?Yes1,25968.7¢55¢$692−$173−$4.82
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No78085.6¢87.5¢$683+$15+$6.20
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?No60087.1¢87.3¢$523+$0.60$0
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?No50075¢95.5¢$478+$103+$73
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No41061.3¢88.5¢$363+$112$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes40930.3¢85.7¢$350+$226+$1,487
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes51066.4¢66.6¢$340+$1.27$0
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? No35580.4¢94.3¢$334+$49+$3.32
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?No30985.8¢95.9¢$296+$31+$14
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?No30085.7¢94.5¢$284+$27$0
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?No26591.1¢96.5¢$256+$14$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No25092¢92.5¢$231+$1.25$0
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No25078¢90.5¢$226+$31$0
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?No24065.9¢91.5¢$219+$61−$1.20
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No22588.1¢94.5¢$213+$14−$2.69
Trump out as President before 2027?No21089.9¢95.7¢$201+$12+$1,511
Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027?No17574¢84¢$147+$18$0
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?No14093.1¢94.5¢$132+$1.98$0
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes13380.1¢91¢$121+$14$0
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No12678.8¢87.5¢$110+$11−$14
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No11675.3¢93.5¢$109+$21+$184
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?No11094.2¢95.7¢$105+$1.65+$8.70
Plague case in US by December 31?No12087.7¢86.5¢$104−$1.40$0
Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?Yes10061¢96.3¢$96+$35$0
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?No10084¢95.5¢$96+$12$0
Will C3.ai announce bankruptcy before 2027?No9882¢97.3¢$95+$15$0
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?No10191.8¢93.5¢$94+$1.74−$0.36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No5085.2¢96¢$48+$5.40+$64
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?No5094¢94.5¢$47+$0.25+$29
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?Yes6959¢69¢$47+$6.83$0
Russia coup attempt in 2026?No4788¢96.7¢$46+$4.10$0
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes10050¢36.5¢$37−$14$0
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No3093.4¢96.5¢$29+$0.92$0
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No2558¢89.5¢$22+$7.88$0
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?No2088¢91¢$18+$0.60$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No3173.4¢58¢$18−$4.80−$151
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10025.1¢17.8¢$18−$7.25$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?No2075¢77.5¢$16+$0.50$0
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Yes1568¢73¢$11+$0.75$0
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No1186.7¢95.5¢$10+$0.96+$24
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?No1173.2¢87.5¢$9.96+$1.63+$1.94
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?No1057¢96.5¢$9.64+$3.94$0
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?No1087¢88.5¢$8.85+$0.15$0
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes1079¢87.5¢$8.75+$0.85$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10016.2¢8.1¢$8.05−$8.15$0
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?No676¢92.9¢$5.57+$1.01$0
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?No679.1¢97.4¢$5.38+$1.01−$4.86
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?No594.6¢99.4¢$4.97+$0.24+$89
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No588¢91¢$4.55+$0.15$0
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?Yes670¢80.5¢$4.48+$0.58−$4.24
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No577¢77.5¢$3.88+$0.03−$14
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?No1028¢29.5¢$2.95+$0.15$0
NATO article 5 before 2027?No383¢94.4¢$2.87+$0.35$0
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?No381¢95¢$2.57+$0.38$0
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?No267¢99.9¢$2.00+$0.66−$7.68
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No283.7¢97¢$1.51+$0.21+$308
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No272.5¢96.5¢$1.45+$0.36−$4.42
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No181.6¢97.8¢$1.22+$0.20+$184
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No190.2¢97.7¢$1.02+$0.08+$48
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?No183¢99.2¢$0.99+$0.16+$0.27
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?No175.3¢95.5¢$0.97+$0.20−$21
Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboNo175¢96.5¢$0.96+$0.21−$0.27
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes189.5¢94.5¢$0.94+$0.05+$3.17
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No185¢94¢$0.94+$0.09−$0.28
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No134.5¢89¢$0.89+$0.55−$0.85
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?No180¢84.5¢$0.84+$0.04−$0.09
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Yes250.8¢20.5¢$0.37−$0.54−$39
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes164¢5.5¢$0.06−$0.61−$18
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes5,47584¢0¢$0−$4,598−$22
Will SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes70176.1¢0¢$0−$534−$124
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No2001.3¢0¢$0−$2.70+$0.14
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?No2037¢0¢$0−$7.40$0
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes810.3¢0¢$0−$0.87+$141
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes11.5¢0¢$0−$0.02−$1.99

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesJair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?68.5¢258$17771%64
BUY YesJair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?74¢155$11571%64
SELL NoRepublicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?98.7¢1,178$1,16371%64
SELL NoRepublicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?98.8¢826$81771%64
BUY YesJair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?69¢60$4171%64
BUY YesJair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?65¢56$3671%64
SELL YesWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?98.3¢500$49271%64
BUY NoPlague case in US by December 31?88¢100$8871%64
SELL YesWill Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?6.1¢10$0.6171%64
SELL NoSweden snap election called in 2026?79¢160$12671%64
SELL NoSweden snap election called in 2026?82¢29$2471%64
BUY NoAndy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?93¢500$46571%64
BUY NoAndy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?93¢500$46571%64
BUY NoAndy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?93¢283$26371%64
BUY NoAndy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?92.7¢166$15471%64
BUY NoFlávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?91.1¢25$2371%64
SELL NoWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?96.9¢2,284$2,21371%64
BUY NoNew pandemic in 2026?94¢336$31571%64
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?83.7¢728$60971%64
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?16¢2,866$45971%64