| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 32.1k | 95¢ | 97.7¢ | $31.4k | +$868 | −$3.55 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 24.4k | 95¢ | 97.4¢ | $23.8k | +$561 | +$10 | |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 22.9k | 93.2¢ | 97.1¢ | $22.2k | +$887 | −$5.15 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 18.5k | 81.5¢ | 84.5¢ | $15.6k | +$561 | +$292 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 15.7k | 91.7¢ | 97.2¢ | $15.3k | +$861 | +$80 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 13.2k | 95.5¢ | 99.7¢ | $13.1k | +$545 | −$14 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 13.1k | 91.9¢ | 95.7¢ | $12.5k | +$494 | +$51 | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 11.5k | 91.6¢ | 97.8¢ | $11.3k | +$706 | +$53 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 11.3k | 88.4¢ | 96.7¢ | $10.9k | +$941 | +$14 | |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 9,576 | 92.8¢ | 98.2¢ | $9,404 | +$515 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 9,987 | 91¢ | 90.5¢ | $9,038 | −$49 | −$172 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 7,545 | 85.7¢ | 94.5¢ | $7,130 | +$665 | +$439 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 7,737 | 90.1¢ | 91.5¢ | $7,079 | +$105 | −$14 | |
| US recession by end of 2026? | No | 7,518 | 90.8¢ | 93.5¢ | $7,030 | +$206 | +$1.46 | |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 6,965 | 67.8¢ | 95.6¢ | $6,655 | +$1,935 | +$374 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 7,100 | 92.7¢ | 90.5¢ | $6,426 | −$154 | −$54 | |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 6,529 | 93.7¢ | 95.6¢ | $6,238 | +$121 | +$2.03 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 6,947 | 83¢ | 86.5¢ | $6,009 | +$243 | −$238 | |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 6,060 | 90.5¢ | 96.7¢ | $5,860 | +$375 | +$0.05 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 5,947 | 84.3¢ | 96.5¢ | $5,739 | +$726 | +$9.87 | |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 5,257 | 88¢ | 94.5¢ | $4,968 | +$341 | +$1.14 | |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 5,047 | 93.8¢ | 96.3¢ | $4,858 | +$123 | +$16 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5,307 | 62.2¢ | 83.5¢ | $4,431 | +$1,131 | −$438 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 4,484 | 92¢ | 98.7¢ | $4,423 | +$299 | −$34 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 5,115 | 59.2¢ | 81.5¢ | $4,169 | +$1,140 | +$863 | |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 4,298 | 66.7¢ | 96.6¢ | $4,152 | +$1,286 | +$270 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? | No | 4,185 | 84.1¢ | 97.4¢ | $4,074 | +$556 | −$0.39 | |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 4,115 | 97.4¢ | 98.9¢ | $4,070 | +$63 | $0 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 4,230 | 88.1¢ | 93.5¢ | $3,955 | +$230 | −$73 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | No | 3,922 | 88¢ | 95¢ | $3,726 | +$275 | −$11 | |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 4,047 | 87.1¢ | 89.5¢ | $3,622 | +$95 | −$4.95 | |
| New pandemic in 2026? | No | 3,669 | 91.1¢ | 94.5¢ | $3,467 | +$124 | $0 | |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 3,432 | 87.2¢ | 96¢ | $3,295 | +$303 | +$46 | |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 3,037 | 91.9¢ | 96¢ | $2,914 | +$122 | +$64 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,874 | 94.4¢ | 99.4¢ | $2,856 | +$143 | −$5.71 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,886 | 93.1¢ | 99¢ | $2,855 | +$169 | $0 | |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 3,045 | 73.7¢ | 87.5¢ | $2,664 | +$421 | +$2.70 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 4,316 | 39.2¢ | 57.8¢ | $2,492 | +$799 | +$117 | |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,534 | 91.8¢ | 93.8¢ | $2,376 | +$49 | +$7.38 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 2,415 | 89.1¢ | 97¢ | $2,341 | +$190 | $0 | |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,367 | 87.8¢ | 97¢ | $2,296 | +$217 | −$0.44 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 2,587 | 82.8¢ | 87.6¢ | $2,265 | +$124 | +$102 | |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,340 | 95.4¢ | 96.3¢ | $2,252 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | No | 2,306 | 94.6¢ | 97.2¢ | $2,242 | +$60 | $0 | |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 2,297 | 97.1¢ | 97.4¢ | $2,237 | +$7.80 | −$4.52 | |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 2,262 | 96¢ | 98.4¢ | $2,225 | +$54 | −$0.06 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,205 | 95.1¢ | 99.2¢ | $2,186 | +$89 | −$8.52 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,212 | 90.7¢ | 98.6¢ | $2,180 | +$174 | −$0.65 | |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026? | No | 2,198 | 93.1¢ | 96.7¢ | $2,125 | +$77 | +$0.38 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 3,336 | 68.3¢ | 63.5¢ | $2,118 | −$162 | −$14 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 2,668 | 71.9¢ | 78.5¢ | $2,095 | +$176 | +$11 | |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 2,156 | 95.3¢ | 96.5¢ | $2,081 | +$26 | −$1.34 | |
| Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? | No | 2,155 | 92¢ | 96.5¢ | $2,079 | +$95 | −$0.11 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,221 | 90.1¢ | 92.5¢ | $2,055 | +$53 | −$29 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | No | 2,099 | 97.6¢ | 97.2¢ | $2,040 | −$9.21 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,123 | 92.3¢ | 95.7¢ | $2,030 | +$72 | +$4.04 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 2,029 | 95¢ | 97.5¢ | $1,978 | +$50 | $0 | |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,010 | 91.4¢ | 97.8¢ | $1,966 | +$129 | −$0.96 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 2,211 | 86.9¢ | 88.5¢ | $1,957 | +$36 | +$12 | |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 1,919 | 99.6¢ | 99.7¢ | $1,912 | +$1.50 | −$25 | |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,945 | 95.3¢ | 98.3¢ | $1,912 | +$58 | −$1.56 | |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 1,923 | 95.7¢ | 97.8¢ | $1,880 | +$40 | −$2.09 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,085 | 55¢ | 89¢ | $1,856 | +$709 | −$13 | |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 1,930 | 88.9¢ | 95.5¢ | $1,843 | +$128 | $0 | |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 1,808 | 99.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $1,806 | +$14 | −$0.52 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2,837 | 58.6¢ | 63.5¢ | $1,801 | +$140 | −$2.84 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 1,888 | 89.1¢ | 95¢ | $1,794 | +$112 | +$3.17 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,130 | 55.8¢ | 83.5¢ | $1,779 | +$590 | −$23 | |
| Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? | No | 1,814 | 96¢ | 98¢ | $1,777 | +$35 | $0 | |
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 1,772 | 99.9¢ | 99.9¢ | $1,769 | −$0.66 | −$45 | |
| Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 10.6k | 15.4¢ | 16.3¢ | $1,735 | +$95 | $0 | |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | 1,766 | 94.5¢ | 96.6¢ | $1,706 | +$38 | −$12 | |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 1,713 | 98.5¢ | 99¢ | $1,695 | +$6.86 | −$3.87 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,742 | 93.4¢ | 97¢ | $1,689 | +$63 | +$0.78 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,730 | 85.9¢ | 96.8¢ | $1,675 | +$188 | −$4.53 | |
| Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 1,666 | 99.8¢ | 99.6¢ | $1,658 | −$4.58 | −$11 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,879 | 87.8¢ | 85.5¢ | $1,607 | −$44 | −$27 | |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,632 | 97.1¢ | 98¢ | $1,599 | +$14 | +$1.37 | |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 1,618 | 93.9¢ | 96.6¢ | $1,563 | +$44 | −$0.30 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | No | 1,573 | 99¢ | 99.3¢ | $1,561 | +$3.87 | −$0.28 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,687 | 74.4¢ | 92.5¢ | $1,561 | +$305 | +$3.42 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 1,762 | 84.6¢ | 88.5¢ | $1,559 | +$69 | +$27 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,680 | 57.2¢ | 91.9¢ | $1,544 | +$583 | −$13 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 1,740 | 81.6¢ | 84.5¢ | $1,470 | +$50 | +$0.59 | |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 1,468 | 99.5¢ | 99.6¢ | $1,462 | +$0.96 | −$59 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 1,471 | 98.7¢ | 99¢ | $1,456 | +$4.11 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 1,456 | 99.6¢ | 99.7¢ | $1,451 | +$0.86 | $0 | |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 1,853 | 86.2¢ | 78¢ | $1,446 | −$151 | +$11 | |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 1,600 | 84.9¢ | 89¢ | $1,424 | +$65 | +$23 | |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 1,506 | 86¢ | 94¢ | $1,416 | +$121 | +$95 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,466 | 92¢ | 95.5¢ | $1,400 | +$52 | +$6.19 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | No | 1,540 | 87.4¢ | 88.5¢ | $1,363 | +$17 | −$8.58 | |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 1,367 | 96.3¢ | 99.4¢ | $1,358 | +$42 | +$0.06 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 1,411 | 94.1¢ | 95.1¢ | $1,342 | +$15 | +$118 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | No | 1,411 | 92.4¢ | 94.5¢ | $1,333 | +$30 | −$1.98 | |
| Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 1,328 | 99.7¢ | 99.9¢ | $1,326 | +$2.53 | −$0.15 | |
| Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 1,328 | 99.6¢ | 99.9¢ | $1,326 | +$2.68 | −$0.04 | |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 1,320 | 96.3¢ | 97¢ | $1,281 | +$8.75 | −$4.82 | |
| JD Vance out as VP by December 31? | No | 1,327 | 94.5¢ | 96.4¢ | $1,279 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,318 | 93.4¢ | 96.2¢ | $1,268 | +$36 | +$4.28 | |