| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 5,000 | 84.3¢ | 94.5¢ | $4,725 | +$510 | +$421 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 5,000 | 82.6¢ | 83.5¢ | $4,175 | +$46 | −$46 | |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 3,001 | 90.7¢ | 94.5¢ | $2,836 | +$114 | $0 | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 2,500 | 94.1¢ | 97.8¢ | $2,444 | +$91 | +$15 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 2,000 | 95.3¢ | 97.9¢ | $1,957 | +$51 | +$4.00 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 2,001 | 92¢ | 97.3¢ | $1,946 | +$104 | +$85 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 2,000 | 89.9¢ | 96.2¢ | $1,923 | +$125 | +$7.03 | |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 1,701 | 91.9¢ | 96.8¢ | $1,646 | +$83 | +$4.00 | |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 1,500 | 94.7¢ | 96.4¢ | $1,445 | +$25 | +$11 | |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 1,500 | 92.8¢ | 96.1¢ | $1,441 | +$49 | $0 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | No | 1,500 | 89.5¢ | 95.5¢ | $1,432 | +$90 | $0 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 1,500 | 72.6¢ | 87.7¢ | $1,316 | +$227 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1,500 | 55.7¢ | 87.4¢ | $1,311 | +$476 | −$13 | |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 1,000 | 97¢ | 98.5¢ | $985 | +$15 | +$16 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 1,001 | 94.5¢ | 97.3¢ | $974 | +$28 | +$20 | |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 90.2¢ | 97.4¢ | $974 | +$71 | $0 | |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 91.4¢ | 97.4¢ | $974 | +$60 | +$142 | |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 96.1¢ | 97.4¢ | $974 | +$13 | +$80 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 93.3¢ | 96.7¢ | $966 | +$33 | $0 | |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 1,000 | 91.9¢ | 95.5¢ | $955 | +$36 | +$10 | |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 93.4¢ | 94.5¢ | $945 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 1,000 | 90.6¢ | 93.5¢ | $935 | +$29 | +$30 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 1,001 | 87.7¢ | 90.5¢ | $906 | +$28 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 1,001 | 89.6¢ | 90.5¢ | $906 | +$9.05 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1,001 | 87.4¢ | 90.5¢ | $906 | +$31 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 1,000 | 77¢ | 89.5¢ | $895 | +$125 | +$16 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 83.6¢ | 87.5¢ | $875 | +$39 | $0 | |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 1,000 | 87.9¢ | 86.5¢ | $864 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 62.3¢ | 84¢ | $840 | +$217 | $0 | |
| US recession by end of 2026? | No | 800 | 86.6¢ | 92.5¢ | $740 | +$47 | $0 | |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 800 | 88.3¢ | 89.5¢ | $716 | +$9.80 | +$27 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 65.3¢ | 70.5¢ | $704 | +$51 | $0 | |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? | No | 1,000 | 27¢ | 64.5¢ | $645 | +$375 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 500 | 85.8¢ | 99.2¢ | $496 | +$67 | $0 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | No | 500 | 98.3¢ | 99¢ | $495 | +$3.25 | $0 | |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | 93.5¢ | 98.3¢ | $491 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Plague pandemic in 2026? | No | 500 | 94.6¢ | 97.8¢ | $489 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 500 | 95.9¢ | 97.5¢ | $487 | +$7.75 | $0 | |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? | No | 500 | 92.6¢ | 97.3¢ | $487 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 501 | 94.1¢ | 97.2¢ | $486 | +$15 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | No | 500 | 87¢ | 97.2¢ | $486 | +$51 | $0 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 500 | 90.8¢ | 97.3¢ | $486 | +$32 | $0 | |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 500 | 92.8¢ | 96.4¢ | $482 | +$18 | +$5.00 | |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 500 | 93.8¢ | 96.2¢ | $481 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 501 | 90.2¢ | 95.7¢ | $479 | +$27 | $0 | |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 500 | 87.8¢ | 95.5¢ | $478 | +$39 | $0 | |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | 93¢ | 95.3¢ | $477 | +$12 | $0 | |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 500 | 92.6¢ | 95.2¢ | $475 | +$13 | +$4.09 | |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | No | 500 | 90.9¢ | 94.8¢ | $474 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | 82.6¢ | 94.5¢ | $473 | +$59 | −$42 | |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | No | 500 | 90.4¢ | 94.2¢ | $471 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | No | 500 | 90.1¢ | 93.5¢ | $468 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 500 | 74¢ | 93.5¢ | $468 | +$98 | $0 | |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? | Yes | 500 | 91.8¢ | 93.5¢ | $468 | +$8.50 | +$7.40 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 500 | 89.2¢ | 92.5¢ | $463 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 501 | 87.7¢ | 91.5¢ | $458 | +$19 | +$2.00 | |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? | Anthropic | 501 | 87¢ | 91.5¢ | $458 | +$23 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | No | 501 | 87.3¢ | 90¢ | $450 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 500 | 87¢ | 89.5¢ | $448 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 500 | 86.8¢ | 89.5¢ | $447 | +$13 | −$7.82 | |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 500 | 78.6¢ | 89¢ | $445 | +$52 | +$25 | |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | No | 500 | 86.6¢ | 88.9¢ | $445 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | No | 500 | 63.6¢ | 87.5¢ | $437 | +$119 | $0 | |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 456 | 95.9¢ | 95.2¢ | $434 | −$3.29 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 500 | 83.6¢ | 85.5¢ | $428 | +$9.50 | $0 | |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 500 | 95.1¢ | 84¢ | $420 | −$55 | +$66 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 500 | 83¢ | 83.5¢ | $418 | +$2.50 | −$64 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 500 | 81.8¢ | 80.5¢ | $403 | −$6.50 | −$9.20 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 500 | 67¢ | 80.5¢ | $403 | +$68 | $0 | |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 500 | 78.2¢ | 80¢ | $400 | +$9.00 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | No | 500 | 0¢ | 79.5¢ | $398 | +$398 | $0 | |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | No | 600 | 77.2¢ | 65.7¢ | $394 | −$69 | $0 | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 500 | 69.7¢ | 75.5¢ | $377 | +$29 | +$3.50 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 500 | 68¢ | 69.5¢ | $347 | +$7.50 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 337 | 94.7¢ | 97.5¢ | $329 | +$9.43 | $0 | |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 500 | 74.6¢ | 64.5¢ | $323 | −$51 | $0 | |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | No | 331 | 89.6¢ | 91.5¢ | $303 | +$6.40 | $0 | |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? | No | 308 | 92.6¢ | 97.6¢ | $300 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 310 | 94.2¢ | 97.1¢ | $300 | +$8.83 | +$6.20 | |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 300 | 93.8¢ | 97.3¢ | $292 | +$10 | $0 | |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 300 | 87.3¢ | 97¢ | $291 | +$29 | +$13 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 300 | 88¢ | 96.9¢ | $291 | +$27 | $0 | |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | No | 300 | 93.2¢ | 96.2¢ | $289 | +$9.00 | +$22 | |
| Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? | Yes | 301 | 91¢ | 95.9¢ | $288 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | No | 300 | 95¢ | 96.1¢ | $288 | +$3.12 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? | No | 300 | 91¢ | 96¢ | $288 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 300 | 91.7¢ | 95.5¢ | $287 | +$12 | +$25 | |
| New pandemic in 2026? | No | 300 | 91.3¢ | 95.5¢ | $287 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 300 | 96¢ | 95.5¢ | $286 | −$1.65 | +$157 | |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | No | 300 | 91.7¢ | 95.5¢ | $286 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 375 | 62¢ | 76¢ | $285 | +$52 | +$21 | |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 300 | 92.7¢ | 95.1¢ | $285 | +$7.15 | $0 | |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 300 | 82.8¢ | 93.9¢ | $281 | +$33 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 300 | 89¢ | 93.5¢ | $281 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | No | 300 | 88.7¢ | 93.1¢ | $279 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 300 | 91.1¢ | 92.5¢ | $278 | +$4.14 | $0 | |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? | No | 300 | 92¢ | 92.5¢ | $278 | +$1.50 | $0 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | No | 300 | 91¢ | 92.5¢ | $278 | +$4.50 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 300 | 91.3¢ | 92.5¢ | $278 | +$3.60 | $0 | |
| Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? | No | 300 | 94.5¢ | 92.5¢ | $277 | −$6.03 | $0 | |